Tunisie: Croissance économique modérée en 2024, entre résilience et défis
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| time.news
L’économie tunisienne a enregistré une croissance modérée de 1,4% en 2024, selon les derniers chiffres publiés par l’Institut National de la Statistique. Ce résultat reflète un équilibre précaire entre la résilience de certains secteurs et les défis persistants qui pèsent sur l’économie du pays. Le résultat de 1,4 % sur l’ensemble de l’année témoigne ainsi d’un équilibre fragile entre la résilience de certains domaines et les défis qui restent à relever pour consolider cette trajectoire de croissance,
souligne le rapport.
Au dernier trimestre 2024, le PIB a progressé de 2,4% sur douze mois et de 0,9% par rapport au trimestre précédent.Les comptes nationaux trimestriels indiquent une hausse de 2,4 % du PIB sur douze mois au dernier trimestre 2024, accompagnée d’une augmentation de 0,9 % par rapport au trimestre précédent,
précise l’Institut. Malgré un contexte économique international incertain et des challengingés internes,la croissance s’établit à 1,4 %,illustrant la capacité du pays à soutenir ses secteurs porteurs.
Secteurs clés et défis à venir
Les services, notamment le tourisme et les technologies, ainsi que les industries manufacturières, ont été les principaux moteurs de la croissance. L’essor des exportations et une relative stabilité du marché intérieur ont contribué à cette dynamique. Cependant, l’agriculture et le secteur minier ont souffert des conditions climatiques défavorables et des tensions d’approvisionnement. en diversifiant ses sources de croissance, le pays pourra parvenir à atténuer les répercussions des secteurs en difficulté, rappelant ainsi l’importance d’un équilibre dans la structuration économique.
Malgré ces signes de résilience, la Tunisie fait face à des défis importants, notamment la maîtrise de l’inflation, la gestion de la dette publique et la nécessité de réformes structurelles. Les autorités envisagent des mesures visant à dynamiser l’investissement, à encourager l’innovation et à améliorer l’attractivité pour les capitaux étrangers.
L’adaptation des politiques économiques aux besoins spécifiques de chaque secteur sera cruciale pour assurer la stabilité et la croissance future.
Perspectives d’avenir
Le taux de croissance est un indicateur essentiel de la santé économique d’un pays. Il reflète sa capacité à créer de la valeur et des emplois. À l’image du pouls d’un organisme, il révèle la dynamique interne de l’économie et permet d’anticiper ses transformations. Pour la Tunisie, la capacité à relever les défis actuels et à mettre en œuvre des réformes efficaces sera déterminante pour consolider la croissance et assurer un avenir économique plus prospère.
Tunisia’s Economic growth in 2024: Resilience Amidst Challenges – An Expert Analysis
time.news: Welcome, Dr. Amira Benali, economic analyst and specialist in Tunisian economics. Thank you for lending your expertise to Time.news. The National Institute of Statistics recently released figures showing a moderate Tunisian economic growth of 1.4% in 2024.What’s your initial take on this figure?
Dr.Amira Benali: Thank you for having me. A 1.4% growth rate, while positive, paints a complex picture. The report itself highlights the “fragile equilibrium” at play. It signifies resilience in specific sectors despite critically important headwinds. We should avoid framing this as a resounding success, but acknowledge that the Tunisian economy managed to avoid contraction in a challenging global habitat. It shows that despite the uncertainties tunisia possess a degree of economic resilience.
Time.news: The report identifies services like tourism and technology, as well as manufacturing, as key growth drivers. Agriculture and mining, however, struggled. How crucial is economic diversification for Tunisia’s enduring growth moving forward?
Dr. Amira Benali: Diversification is paramount. The reliance on a few sectors makes the Tunisian economy vulnerable to external shocks,like climate-related issues impacting agriculture,or fluctuations in global commodity prices affecting the mining sector. The report stating diversification “will attenuate the repercussions of struggling sectors” is a critical point.Investing in emerging industries, supporting innovation across the board, and developing a broader export base are essential steps. The Government should focus on attracting foreign capital this will help create even more diversity.
Time.news: The report mentions “persistent challenges” including inflation, public debt, and the need for structural reforms. These are recurring themes in discussions about the Tunisian economy. In your view, what are the most pressing challenges facing the nation, and what kind of economic reforms are most urgently needed?
Dr. Amira Benali: Controlling inflation is crucial to protect the purchasing power of citizens, it also helps businesses plan more effectively. Addressing public debt requires fiscal discipline, responsible spending but also strategic renegotiation. The most urgent economic reforms, though, lie in creating a more attractive investment climate. This means simplifying bureaucratic processes, improving governance, and promoting transparency. Boosting investor confidence is significant to increase investment. Removing the red tape will attract both domestic and foreign investment, a vital piece of the puzzle to accelerate sustainable economic growth.
Time.news: The report mentions the government is considering measures to boost investment and innovation. What specific policy changes do you believe are needed to make Tunisia more attractive to investors, both domestic and international?
Dr. Amira Benali: Beyond the simplification of procedures I mentioned, there needs to be a focus on fostering a culture of innovation. This includes investing in education and research, supporting entrepreneurship, and creating a legal framework that protects intellectual property. Moreover, addressing corruption remains a critical challenge. International investors seek stability, transparency, and predictability. Improving in these metrics will significantly enhance Tunisia’s investment appeal.Also, the government should prioritize improvements of infrastructure to create a competitive edge for Tunisia to stand out from the competitors.
Time.news: For our readers, particularly those with business interests in Tunisia, what practical advice would you offer based on this 2024 economic performance?
Dr. Amira Benali: My advice would be to conduct thorough due diligence, understand the specific dynamics of your target sector, and build strong local partnerships.While the 1.4% growth signals stability, it’s crucial to be aware of the underlying challenges. Focus on sectors that are demonstrating resilience, like technology, manufacturing, and especially tourism, wich is a really promising sector in Tunisia.Also, remain adaptable and be prepared to navigate bureaucratic complexities. Seek expert advice and legal counsel to protect your investments, also look for governmental support.
time.news: What’s your overall economic outlook on Tunisia’s prospects?
Dr. Amira Benali: I remain cautiously optimistic, but it is absolutely dependent on the implementation of effective reforms to tackle the challenges that the statistics department flagged. If correctly managed sustainable economic growth can be the reward. The Tunisian economy has demonstrated a capacity to withstand storms, however active and concrete steps must be taken now for sustained growth and greater prosperity going forward.
Time.news: dr. Benali, thank you for your time and invaluable insights.
Dr. Amira Benali: My pleasure.