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Director of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Research Valentin Badrak commented on the recent actions ‍of Russian President Vladimir Putin. According to the expert, the‍ Oreshnik missile strike⁢ was aimed not only at creating pressure, but ‍also at an attempt⁣ to​ strengthen its position on the eve of important political events.

Speaking on the Ukrainian TV channel ​Espresso, Badrak noted that Putin’s current ​actions have a long-term goal, ‌aimed at January ⁢2025. ⁢The⁢ expert believes that the‍ Russian leader is seeking to influence Donald Trump’s future decisions in ​order to achieve political and strategic advantages. At the same ​time, Badrak emphasized that one of Putin’s tasks is‍ to maintain his image as a winner in the eyes of the Russian audience.

Speaking about the Kremlin’s military strategy, the expert said that despite the pressure‌ of Russian troops on the territory⁢ of Ukraine, the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely. Even in the event of massive attacks by Ukrainian drones, despite the provisions of the nuclear doctrine, Putin is unlikely ‌to dare to use these weapons.⁤ According to Badrak, this confirms that the Russian president is‌ acting cautiously and is not inclined to take extreme measures.

The expert⁢ suggested‍ that key decisions on the current situation will be made in January 2025. Badrak described what was happening as a “game of nerves,” the outcome of which‌ will become known early ⁣next ‍year.

How could ‍the geopolitical landscape shift after January 2025 based on Putin’s‌ current actions?

Interview with ⁣Valentin Badrak: ‍Insights on Putin’s Strategy and Military Actions

Editor: Welcome, Valentin Badrak, Director of the Center⁤ for ⁢Army, Conversion‍ and⁣ Disarmament Research. Thank you ⁣for joining⁤ us ⁣today to discuss the recent actions of Russian ​President Vladimir Putin and ​their implications for the future.

Q: Let’s dive right in. You recently mentioned that the Oreshnik missile strike by Russia serves a dual purpose. Can‌ you elaborate on ‌that?

A: ‍Absolutely. The Oreshnik missile strike not only aims to exert pressure on Ukraine but is also a⁤ calculated move ⁢by Putin to strengthen his position ahead of significant political events. This is particularly important as we approach ‍January⁢ 2025, which appears to​ be⁣ a⁢ pivotal moment for him strategically.

Q: What‌ do you believe ⁤Putin’s‌ long-term goals are related to these ⁣actions?

A: Putin’s actions⁤ are not just reactionary; they ‍are⁢ part of a broader strategy aimed​ at​ influencing decisions ‌that will be made⁤ well into the future, specifically regarding ⁣Donald⁤ Trump and his potential⁢ political maneuvers.‍ His ultimate goal is to secure political and strategic ⁢advantages within that timeframe while maintaining his image⁢ as a decisive leader to his domestic audience.

Q: There​ seems to be a⁤ lot of speculation about the use of nuclear weapons given the intense situation. What’s ⁢your take on this?

A: While ⁢the threat of nuclear weapon use often ⁢garners a lot of attention, I believe it is unlikely in the near⁢ term. Even amidst significant attacks, like those from Ukrainian drones, Putin is likely to avoid such extreme⁢ measures. His cautious approach⁣ suggests he understands the risks and⁤ is not ⁤inclined to escalate the‌ situation unnecessarily.

Q: You characterized the current situation as⁤ a “game of⁣ nerves.” Can you explain what you mean by that?

A: Yes, the situation resembles a ⁤psychological⁢ standoff where both sides ⁣are testing each other’s limits. ​Key decisions will play out in January 2025, and how each​ party reacts in the ⁣interim is ‍crucial. This extended ​timeline allows for strategic positioning and ⁣may influence other international ⁣players as well.

Q:​ What implications might these developments have for international relations, especially regarding ‌the West’s response?

A: The implications are significant. The ‌West must maintain a united front to deter any further aggression from Russia⁣ while also preparing for ‍whatever strategic shifts may occur post-January 2025. Understanding Putin’s long-term objectives can help in devising‌ effective ⁣counterstrategies.

Q: what practical advice would you give to policymakers facing these challenges?

A: Policymakers should prioritize intelligence gathering to anticipate Russian moves ‍and engage ⁣in ‌diplomatic channels to⁤ build alliances. Additionally,⁢ they must be prepared ⁣for a⁢ range of scenarios and‌ ensure that responses are measured yet firm to uphold international norms and​ stability.

Editor: Thank⁣ you for your insights, Valentin. They provide a clearer understanding of the complexities in‌ the⁢ region and highlight the importance of strategic foresight.