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After the election of US President Donald Trump, his promise to quickly end the Russian-Ukrainian war seems less and less feasible. Sending more weapons to the Ukrainian Armed Forces and imposing new sanctions will likely not lead to peace, given that the Russian army continues a steady offensive. This may mean that Putin has decided to continue the war in order to achieve victory.

Responsible Statecraft reports.

However, the new administration can change the current course of events, using the Arctic issue as an important factor to put pressure on Russia and end the war. This question might be of interest to Putin, who is actively developing the Arctic region. In November, at the launch of the new nuclear icebreaker Chukotka, the most powerful in the world, it was clear that Russia is paying special attention to the Arctic. The vessel, which is 173 meters long, is equipped with two nuclear reactors and is capable of breaking through ice up to 3 meters thick.

Icebreakers such as the Chukotka play a key role in the development of the Northern Sea Route, which connects Western Europe with the Asia-Pacific region. New records for oil and container shipments were set there in 2024, highlighting growing interest in the route. For Russia, the Arctic represents not only a source of energy resources, but also an important economic driver, with potential for the development of domestic infrastructure, especially in Siberia.

China is also actively investing in the development of the Northern Sea Route through the Polar Silk Road and is seeking cooperation with Russia. However, Chinese and Russian experts understand that the full use of this route is impossible without Western support. That is why the Arctic can become an important lever for resolving the Ukrainian conflict. Russia may be interested in partnering with the West if the process brings significant economic benefits, such as a share of revenues from the Northern Sea Route to rebuild Ukraine.

This approach can offer a solution that suits all parties. China and other interested countries, including Canada, Finland, Norway and Japan, could benefit from the Northern Sea Route. For the United States, this could mean supporting its economic interests, particularly in Alaska and northern ports.

For this plan to become a reality, the United States and Europe must reconsider their sanctions imposed on Arctic-related projects. Encouraging European shipping companies to use this route could also play a role. At the first stage, Trump can propose a peace process, while emphasizing Arctic benefits, which will allow Putin to be involved in negotiations.

The first Trump administration took bold steps in international politics, and this approach could be an important element in returning peace to Eastern Europe. By focusing on the Arctic project, Trump could create the conditions for a real peace settlement.

Let us remind you that “Cursor” wrote that Trump was discussing the possibility of the United States leaving the World Health Organization (WHO) on January 20, during the inauguration. Experts warn that this decision could pose a threat to the organization itself and the global health system.