From next weekend, the National Assembly will have twenty days to examine the articles of the bill at first reading. The Social Affairs Committee will tackle this from January 30. Then the text will pass in the hemicycle from February 6, and until the 17 at midnight at the most.
Even if the deputies do not come to the end of the thousands of amendments announced and do not vote within this period, the government will be able to seize the Senate. “It’s clever enough to avoid a 49.3”, perceived as a forceful passage, we note in the presidential majority. After the parliamentary break from February 20 to 26, the upper house dominated by the right will examine the text adopted by the Assembly, or failing that, the initial text of the government, modified by the amendments that the Assembly will have had time to vote and which the executive supports. Senators will have 15 days for this first reading.
Then deputies and senators will try to agree on a compromise in a joint committee. If there is agreement, it must be validated by both chambers. Otherwise the text will make a last shuttle and the Assembly will have the last word. If the Parliament has not decided within 50 days, that is to say by March 26 at midnight, the provisions of the reform may be implemented by ordinance, provides for the Constitution. It would be unprecedented.