Seven federal states could be classified red on the Corona traffic light on Thursday. That comes from a document that “Today” is present.
The numbers that are available to the traffic light commission speak for themselves: In Carinthia, Lower Austria, Upper Austria, Salzburg, Styria, Tyrol and Vorarlberg, the risk figure that is so important for the Corona traffic light is well over 150. In Salzburg, the state with the highest number, even at 326.9. This is shown in a paper by the crisis manager, in that too “Today” Could gain insight. Explanation: According to the manual of the traffic light commission, even a risk number over 100 corresponds to a “very high risk” with regard to infection with the virus.
The seven countries concerned are threatened with being switched to red – and vaccination frontrunner Burgenland is also facing an upgrade to orange. Only Vienna (this corona message is now worrying the whole of Vienna) could keep its current traffic light status (orange). This means that almost all of Austria is facing an upgrade. A harbinger of this: the number of infections. >> Corona nightmare: 4,261 new infections and 10 deaths
Alarm bells are ringing among forecasting experts
The Covid forecast consortium assumes that between 300 and 435 inpatient Covid 19 patients will need intensive care in two weeks. On Wednesday, 250 seriously ill patients were treated in intensive care units. On November 11, between 1,149 and 2,148 Covid patients are expected in normal wards. It currently holds at 1.007.
In individual federal states, this development could lead to the Covid-19 coating in intensive care units exceeding the critical utilization limit of 33 percent on Thursday in two weeks. According to the current assessment of the experts, this probability is 35 percent in Vorarlberg, 15 percent in Vienna and ten percent in Burgenland.
The daily new infections – more than 4,200 were recorded on Wednesday – should, according to the forecasting consortium, already be between 4,595 and 6,322 on Thursday in a week, which leads to fears of a further increase in the hospitals in late autumn with a delay. In absolute numbers, according to the forecasting consortium, the majority of new infections will be in Upper Austria, where up to 1,531 new cases per day must be expected by November 4th. For comparison: In the 1.9 million city of Vienna at least 549, in the worst case 875 new cases are prophesied.
The experts warn of a “significant increase in the seven-day incidence (number of new infections in the past seven days per 100,000 inhabitants, note)”, which will be over 360 in one week in Austria on Thursday and possibly reach 495.
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According to the forecasts, it looks darkest in Salzburg, where the incidence will amount to between 514 and 819 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. A seven-day incidence of 450 to 717 is expected in Upper Austria; Vorarlberg (377 to 603) and Carinthia (372 to 594) will probably also be above the Austrian average on November 4. The lowest seven-day incidence is expected in Vienna, it should be between 200 and 319 on November 4th. However, in the federal capital alone, between 94 and 156 Covid patients are likely to have intensive medical care needs.
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