Africa or death? Prigozhin cannot stay in Belarus for long

by time news

2023-06-30 11:17:02

Survive. Stay out of jail. Or both. The leader of the Russian private military group “Wagner”, 62 years old Yevgeny Prigogine is currently faced with such a difficult choice.

An agreement was reached regarding the departure of Prigozhin to Belarus, who stopped the uprising on June 24. Leader of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko although he said that he was in his country, it could not be officially confirmed.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he would not forgive “betrayal”.

“Putin, as a rule, does not allow traitors to get away easily. Therefore, I would say that Priggon’s days are numbered.” – In the mid-2000s, he was the director for Russia at the National Security Council of the White House Thomas Graham (Thomas Graham) tells RFE/RL’s Todd Prince.

“If I were Prigogine, I would always look over my shoulder. “Belarus is not the safest place.” – he said.

Victims of the FSB

Under the leadership of Putin, the Russian special services carried out assassination attempts against “traitors” in the territory of foreign countries, including the West. Among the victims is a former officer of the Federal Security Service (FSB). Alexander Litvinenkoa former agent Sergey Skripal there is also Litvinenko died of radioactive isotope poisoning in London, and Skripal came back from the dead.

It will be easier for Russian agencies to infiltrate Belarus, Russia’s ally. But for now, the intentions of the Kremlin or Russian intelligence agencies are unclear. The FSB has announced that it has dropped charges of “armed rebellion” against members of Prigozhin and Wagner.

Some experts consider this a sign of weakness for Putin. But Putin’s supporters say that crushing the Wagner uprising would be even worse for Russia and for the president, whose public support is waning.

“Going to Belarus, losing control of Wagner, is the last thing Prizhon wants to do. I’m not sure how this will end.” – Russia expert, chairman of the Washington-based “Silverado Policy Accelerator” analysis center Dmitri Alperovich he said in a podcast on June 26.

“It is certain that he will not come out at the end of the year”

Even if Prigogine is confirmed to be in Belarus, the bigger question is whether he will stay there or move to another country. For example, to one of the African countries whose companies and soldiers have been conducting business operations for years.

Russian political commentator and former journalist Olga Romanova He doubts that Prigozhin will stay in Belarus for security reasons.

“I think he will quietly leave Belarus, suddenly appear somewhere in Africa, if at all. I don’t think Prigogine will live long. It is certain that he will not come out at the end of the year. – o, “Current Time”a deyib.

However, how Prigogine will go to Africa is also a question. The United States put his private military group and a number of related companies on the sanctions list for “creating chaos and instability in African countries.” This prevents Priggion from even going to Africa on his private plane.

Freedom radio

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