58% of Israelis Fear Possible Civil War, New Survey Shows
A recent survey conducted by the “Lazar Studies” institute has revealed that 58% of Israelis fear the possibility of a real civil war. The survey, conducted by the “Maariv” newspaper, also showed that only 38% of Israelis do not fear such a scenario, while 4% were unsure.
The survey further analyzed the data and found that opposition voters were more likely to fear a civil war, with 76% expressing concern. In contrast, 55% of those who voted for the current coalition parties did not fear the situation escalating into a fratricidal war.
Meanwhile, Minister Ben Gvir has claimed that attempts are being made to threaten the commander of the HISM unit. The details surrounding this claim remain undisclosed.
Another question raised in the survey was regarding the recent legislation regarding probable cause. When asked about the fear of the IDF reaching a state of incompetence, 49% expressed concern about potential harm, while 45% believed there would be no harm.
In relation to the recent legislation and the growing divide within Israeli society, respondents were asked if they were considering leaving the country. The results showed that 4% of participants have already taken practical steps in this direction, while 22% admitted to thinking about it but not taking any practical action. Notably, 36% of opposition voters considered leaving, compared to only 7% of coalition voters. The majority, 68% of respondents, stated that they have no intention of leaving the country.
When asked about the changes the government wants to make in the judicial system, 22% of participants believed that the legislation should be promoted unilaterally. Another 29% supported promoting the legislation through negotiations, and 36% believed the legislation should be halted immediately. Interestingly, 67% of opposition voters were in favor of stopping the legislation, compared to only 5% of coalition voters.
Additionally, the “Maariv” survey indicated that following the dramatic events of the past week, the state camp has gained strength in terms of mandates, securing 30 mandates. The Likud party was left with 28 mandates, while Yesh Atid weakened, gaining only 16 mandates.
If new elections were held today, the survey revealed that the state camp would secure 30 mandates, the Likud party would have 28 mandates, and Yesh Atid would have 16 mandates. Other parties, such as Shas, Torah Judaism, Ra’am, Otzma Yehudit, Meretz, Religious Zionism, Yisrael Beytinu, and Hadash-Ta’al, would also secure mandates.
Notably, there has been no change in the bloc map since the last survey, with the opposition holding 66 mandates and the coalition having 54 mandates. Even with the current survey results, both Labor and Balad did not pass the blocking percentage.
The survey was conducted online from July 25-26 and included 504 participants, comprising a representative sample of the adult population in Israel aged 18 and older, including both Jews and Arabs. The maximum sampling error was recorded at 4.3%.