2023-11-05 19:25:00
One year to the day before the 2024 presidential election, several polls overwhelm Joe Biden, showing him left behind by his rival Donald Trump, and disconnected from a deeply pessimistic American public opinion.
A poll published Sunday by the New York Times shows the American president losing against Donald Trump, favorite in the Republican primary, in five out of six key states, and losing ground among young people and minorities.
In 2020, Joe Biden snatched victory in each of these “swing states”, states which “swing” between one camp and the other.
But today, according to this opinion poll, the 77-year-old Republican billionaire dominates his 80-year-old Democratic opponent in voting intentions in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Joe Biden would only have Wisconsin left.
Another poll commissioned by CBS and published on Sunday gives Donald Trump the lead in general voting intentions, with 51% against 48% for Joe Biden.
Obama 2012
“We will win in 2024 by going to work headlong, not by panicking for a poll,” replied Kevin Munoz, spokesperson for the “ticket” campaign formed by Joe Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris.
“Predictions made a year in advance tend to change somewhat within a year,” he quipped.
And to recall the polls which predicted a crushing defeat for former President Barack Obama, a year before he was easily re-elected.
But according to Democratic strategist David Axelrod, who was the architect of this victorious 2012 re-election campaign, Sunday’s poor polls are enough to cause “legitimate concern” in the Democratic camp.
And to assert, on the social network in that of the country.”
Pessimism
The polls published on Sunday reveal, beyond necessarily risky predictions twelve months before the election, that the octogenarian president is unable to reduce the gap which seems to separate him from American public opinion.
According to the CBS poll, 73% of Americans believe that their country is doing badly, the highest since the start of the year.
An ABC opinion poll even shows 76% of Americans convinced that their country is going in the wrong direction.
67% of them think the same thing in the already cited New York Times poll, which also counts 71% of voters convinced that Joe Biden “is too old to be an effective president”.
Donald Trump’s age is generally much less of a concern to voters.
Public opinion therefore remains impervious to the proactive speech of Joe Biden, convinced of being best placed to beat Donald Trump, especially because he has already succeeded once.
Gaza
His fellow citizens are worried about their purchasing power, eaten away by inflation, and some fear seeing the United States dragged into a war abroad.
Where Joe Biden repeats that he has “never been more optimistic” for America, praising the robust economy and the strong international alliances he has forged.
Experts generally assure that international issues do not play a big role in Americans’ electoral decisions.
The fact remains that the way in which Joe Biden has positioned himself in the face of the war between Israel and Hamas outrages many young voters, as well as Muslim Americans or Americans of Arab origin, two electorates who have until now been rather favorable to him.
Several thousand people gathered in Washington on Saturday, calling for an immediate “ceasefire” in the Gaza Strip, and some criticizing “genocidal Joe”.
The Democrat hammered home Israel’s “right” and “duty” to defend itself. He has so far rejected calls for a ceasefire, but assures that he is working towards a humanitarian “pause”.
05/11/2023 18:24:29 –
Washington (AFP) –
© 2023 AFP
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