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Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills are off to a disappointing 5-5 start and will now host the New York Jets for an AFC East showdown. The Bills have won five of their last seven games against the Jets, but Buffalo is 0-6 against the spread in its last six games overall. According to the latest Week 11 NFL odds from the SportsLine consensus, the Bills are favored by seven points at home on Sunday. Should your Week 11 NFL bets include backing the Bills to cover the spread, or are you better off targeting another favorite in the NFL spreads like the Cowboys (-10.5) on the road against the Panthers? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 11 NFL predictions
We can tell you one of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Panthers (+10.5) cover at home against the Cowboys. Dallas has a tendency to underperform coming off a victory and it demolished the Giants in Week 10. The Cowboys are just 2-3 against the spread after a win, including outright losing at Arizona in Week 3 as 11-point favorites.
Carolina’s strength is its pass defense, which ranks sixth in the NFL and has held its last three opponents to 162 yards or fewer. The pass defense could get even stronger with former first-round pick, cornerback Jaycee Horn, designated to return from IR after playing in only one game this season. The model foresees just one Dallas player having more than 46 receiving yards, while Dak Prescott is projected to finish under 250 passing yards for the fourth time this season. Dallas failed to cover in two of those previous three games, and SportsLine’s model has Carolina covering nearly 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Another one of its Week 11 NFL predictions: The Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) stay within the spread on the road when they take on the Cleveland Browns. On Wednesday, the Browns announced starting quarterback Deshaun Watson will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery. That’s a major blow for a Browns team that has won four of its last five games. However, the Browns have struggled mightily against the Steelers in recent years. In fact, Cleveland is 1-4 in its last five meetings against Pittsburgh.
The Steelers, meanwhile, enter Sunday’s showdown having won four of their last five games and are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games on the road. The Steelers have been winning games behind their disciplined defense, which has given up 20 points or fewer in their last five games. SportsLine’s model is calling for a matchup that finishes with both teams scoring in the teens as the Steelers keep it within the number and cover in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 11 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule and also just revealed two coveted A-rated picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated picks can you place right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 11 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Get full NFL picks at SportsLine
Sunday, Nov. 19
Cowboys at Panthers (+10.5, 42)
Steelers at Browns (-1, 33)
Bears at Lions (-7.5, 48)
Chargers at Packers (+3, 44)
Cardinals at Texans (-5, 48.5)
Titans at Jaguars (-7, 40)
Raiders at Dolphins (-13.5, 46.5)
Giants at Commanders (-9, 37)
Buccaneers at 49ers (-11.5, 41.5)
Jets at Bills (-7, 39.5)
Seahawks at Rams (+1, 46.5)
Vikings at Broncos (-2.5, 42.5)
Monday, Nov. 20
Eagles at Chiefs (-2.5, 45.5)