2023-11-24 07:00:00
24/11/2023
According to big data, Russia has conquered Ukraine: the war and the McNamara fallacy.- Zacarías Hernández Calvo
The McNamara fallacy consists of making a decision based on supposedly objective metrics and ignoring all other observations. The attempt to replicate business management and decision-making processes, based on rational analysis supported by quantifiable data, has led throughout history to serious strategic errors. In Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan or now in the Russian invasion of Ukraine that temptation has always been present, trusting in a technological response to a strategic problem. Data that is difficult to quantify tends to be overlooked, leaving out intangibles such as motivation, hope, resentment or anger. The problem lies in the very nature of war, which means that the search for a strategic response cannot be pursued solely through a rational method.
Document prepared by Zacarías Hernández Calvo. Infantry Colonel DEM. Doctor in Law and International Relations.
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