2023-12-04 12:53:54
The war in ukraine turns 649 days old this Monday. ISW informa sobre military operations of Russian forces along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut and Avdiivka, as well as west and southwest of Donetsk. Besides, Movements are recorded in the border area of the Donetsk-Zapori region and in Western Zaporizhia Oblast, and progress near Avdiivka. On the night of December 2 and 3, Russian forces carried out missile and drone attacks.
kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko expresses criticism of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, points out “errors” and requests greater transparency in the management of the war situation.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirms a new temporary interruption at the Zaporizhia nuclear plantthe eighth since the beginning of the conflict.
To a significant extent, the Russian president, Vladimir Putinauthorizes an increase of 170,000 military personnel, to bring the contingent of the Russian Armed Forces to more than 2.2 million.
On February 24, 2022, President of Russia Vladimir Putinordered the Russian offensive in the country in what he called a “special military operation.”
Since then, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimates that More than 30 million people have fled Ukraine, since the beginning of the Russian military offensive, which considers that it is already the Fastest exodus in Europe since World War II. That is, more than 73% of the population –estimated at almost 41 million in 2021– would have left Ukrainian territory.
The latest report of Institute Study of War (ISW) (1), claims that Russian forces carry out “offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of the city of Donetsk, in the border area of the Donetsk-Zaporiyia oblast and in the western Zaporizhia oblast and where they advanced near Avdiivka“.
The ISW also highlights that Russian forces launch “a series of missile and drone attacks on the night of December 2 and 3“.
Likewise, the American think tank states that “Russian President Vladimir Putin’s December 1 decree is likely a formal recognition of the current final strength of the Russian military and not an order to immediately increase the number of Russian military personnel“.
In a recent interview with the Swiss newspaper 20 minutes, kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko, has criticized the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, questioning the “mistakes” committed and requesting greater “honesty” in relation to the war situation.
Klitschko has pointed to the lack of preparation for war and Zelensky’s denial that the situation would reach this point. He has emphasized that there was incorrect information that did not reflect reality, and advocates transparency about the true situation after the Russian invasionand claims that Zelensky is facing the consequences of his actions.
The mayor of kyiv has supported General Valeri Zaluzhni, chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces, who was criticized for stating that the war was in a “stalemate”. Klitschko has praised Zaluzhni’s honesty.
Klitschko has also thanked Germany for the delivery of anti-aircraft systems, but has regretted Berlin’s refusal to supply Taurus long-range cruise missiles. The interview highlights the internal tensions and challenges that Ukraine faces amid the current crisis.
In a statement issued this Saturday, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirms another temporary interruption at the Ukrainian Zaporizhia nuclear plant, marking the eighth since the start of the Russian invasion.. Rafael Mariano Grossi, director of the UN nuclear agency, reports that the plant lost connection to its external supply lines last night, forcing it to temporarily resort to emergency diesel generators to maintain nuclear safety.
The plant’s electrical connection to its backup line was cut around 10:26 p.m., local time, and five hours later, the plant’s only 750 kV line, its main source of external electricity, was also lost, according to the IAEA report. The agency notes that the cause appears to be in the external network, far from the plant.
In response, the site’s 20 diesel generators were automatically activated, ensuring sufficient power for essential cooling of the plant’s six reactors, all currently shut down. The situation highlights the continued vulnerability of nuclear infrastructure amid the ongoing conflict.
In a presidential decree issued last Friday, Russian President Vladimir Putin has authorized the expansion of military personnel by 170,000, bringing the contingent of the Russian Armed Forces to more than 2.2 million. According to the official Kremlin document, this figure will include 1.3 million military personnel, according to the Russian news agency TASS.
Although this significant increase does not imply a mobilization of the population, as occurred in September 2022, the Ministry of Defense has indicated that the increase will be implemented gradually through the participation of citizens who express the desire to provide military service under contract. This move underlines the expansion of Russian military presence in Ukraine.
Flow of refugees from Ukraine to other countries as of November 28, 2023 / Map: EA
UNHCR estimates that more than 30 million people have fled Ukraine since the start of the Russian military offensive, which it considers to be the fastest exodus in Europe since World War II.
He High Commissioner for Refugees estimates that More than 30 million people have fled Ukraine, since the beginning of the Russian military offensive, which considers that it is already the Fastest exodus in Europe since World War II. That is, more than 73% of the population –estimated at almost 41 million in 2021– would have left Ukrainian territory.
According to the latest data from UNHCR (2), 30,020,085 people have left Ukrainian territory as of November 28, 2023. By countries, 16.820.650 Ukrainian refugees have already arrived Poland (November 20), 2.852.395 a Russia (June 6), 3,877,500 to Hungary (November 19th), 3.620.235 a Romania (November 19th), 1.854.305 a Slovakia (12th of November), 978.295 a Moldavia (November 19) and 16.705 a Belarus (November 1st).
The High Commissioner for Refugees estimates that More than 5.9 million Ukrainian refugees have already been registered in European territory, while worldwide the number of people from Ukraine in the same situation reaches 6.3 million, due to the Russian invasion of his country.
On the other hand, UNHCR estimates up to 19,764,685 movements (and not of people) back to Ukraine who have recurrently crossed the border without establishing permanent residence back to Ukraine from February 28, 2022.
These border movements towards Ukrainian territory are highly volatile and unpredictable, and related to temporary return decisions. to visit their families or carry out procedures, among many others without being considered sustainable returns due to the war situation in the country.
References (1) Institute Study of War (ISW).
(2) United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).
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