After the rejection of the “immigration” bill, the National Rally’s tactical call for a dissolution of the Assembly

2023-12-13 06:00:00
Marine Le Pen during the question from the RN deputy, Caroline Parmentier, addressed to the Minister of Culture, during the Questions to the Government session, at the National Assembly in Paris, December 12, 2023. JULIEN MUGUET FOR “THE WORLD ”

Jordan Bardella has already spotted Elisabeth Borne’s office, on the first floor of Matignon. He went there after the 2022 legislative elections, in the company of Marine Le Pen, who quipped in front of a stunned Prime Minister: “Jordan, this will be for you!” » A year and a half later, with the help of a diet crisis, he would like the French to see him there too. Monday, December 11, in the evening, after having digested the drama of the prior rejection of the immigration bill at the Palais-Bourbon, the president of the National Rally (RN) once again pleaded for a dissolution of the Assembly national.

Also read the story: Article reserved for our subscribers Immigration law: story of a day of debacle for the government

This is a common reflex on the far right: Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen were already in favor of a return to the polls in October. But also in April and November 2022, in May 2020, in March 2019, in December 2018, in February 2015, in the summer of 2014, in April and November 2013… “There is a bravado side that fits with the imagination of the National Front [FN, ancien nom du Rassemblement national]who wants the people not to lie and that we must come back to it when a crisis arises”underlines Frédéric Dabi, general director of the IFOP, recalling “the countless calls for the dissolution, or even the resignation, of the President of the Republic, of Jean-Marie Le Pen [le cofondateur du FN] ».

Does the RN believe it this time? This was not the case for Marine Le Pen, on October 29 on France 3, affirming that“Emmanuel Macron would not like to give the French a voice again, because he knows that he would come out weakened”. It was not more so, on Monday, in the ranks of deputies, who were not very enthusiastic about the idea of ​​considering a winter electoral campaign, they who often say they are tired by the load of parliamentary work. “The chances are moderate, because a preponderant part of the State and the senior administration do not want it”admits Jean-Philippe Tanguy, deputy president of the RN group in the National Assembly, one of the few convinced that the party would emerge “majority” early legislative elections.

Read also: Article reserved for our subscribers Bill relating to immigration: Gérald Darmanin drags the majority into the crisis

Mobilize the troops

But the objective makes it possible to mobilize the troops, to bring to life the story of its inevitable victory and a supposed capacity to exercise power. “When the embers are hot, you have to blow on themcontinues Mr. Tanguy. For our voters, seeing that the leaders are confident, that the commentators are creating an atmosphere, this is part of psychological warfare. The hope of victory calls forth victory. »

Above all, the National Rally knows it can lead a campaign similar to that of Jean-Luc Mélenchon during the 2022 legislative elections, when he asked the French to “elect him prime minister” : for the first time in its history, underlines Mr. Dabi, the extreme right “has a real number two. We can imagine the photos of the RN candidates in the legislative elections accompanied by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella”.

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