2023-12-17 10:34:08
Western media reports indicate a change in Ukraine’s military tactics against Russia. This new strategy appears to focus primarily on eliminating a maximum number of Russian soldiers. Includes tactical retreats in case of loss disadvantage.
The German newspaper Bild reports that Ukraine has no intention of attacking or defending strategically disadvantaged areas. According to information gathered, Kiev is postponing plans to reconquer the occupied territories. The newspaper, citing sources, says that the current goal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is to maximize damage to enemy personnel.
Defense is not the main priority, but rather “eliminating as many Russian soldiers as possible with minimal losses to one’s own troops.”
A Ukrainian military source confirms that “there is no longer pressure to advance offensively, the objective is to maximize enemy losses.” “Holding your position is secondary, the important thing is to save as many Ukrainian lives as possible,” adds the source.
Bild quotes a former Western military advisor: “We are seeing a controlled retreat with fighting.”
There are no official statements regarding a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive in 2024, neither from NATO nor from Kiev’s Western leaders.
Information about the offensive is mostly rumor, and official Ukrainian statements are limited to requests for additional military supplies.
Given the reduction in supplies and uncertainty about future supplies, it is difficult to predict Ukraine’s offensive prospects in 2024.
News about counteroffensive plans often comes from private opinions of experts or journalists, usually favorable to Ukraine.
Die Welt quotes a security expert: “Ukraine could accumulate resources for a new counteroffensive next year.”
However, there is no concrete evidence to support these opinions.
Western journalists often rely on sources that support their narrative.
For example, Die Welt journalist Alfred Hackensberger used data from OSINT Oryx, operated by a member of Bellingcat, to support his claims.
Biased OSINT data influenced perceptions of Ukrainian and Russian military capabilities, leading to false narratives that collapsed after the Russian military’s success in June 2023.
After the counteroffensive failed, the Oryx project was shut down and its Twitter publications deleted.
Rumors of a second offensive should be taken with skepticism, given the lack of reliable data and information chaos in the West.
At present what we observe are the Ukrainian forces in great difficulty in their attempt to establish a bridgehead on the Dnieper. These forces suffered significant losses. However, even though the difficulties, especially of supply, are increasing, the Ukrainian army holds the positions it has fortified for years. Meanwhile, the EU continues to sanction and fuel the war, without any exit strategy.
By now the harm caused by the Russian offensive is largely surpassed by the destruction caused by the prolonged conflict that the West is stubbornly pursuing, opposing any fair negotiation, without preconditions. And this is an aspect that few Western leaders seem not to consider.
UPDATED 4.32pm – 12/17/2023
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