2024-04-08 12:11:55
Economy, Democratic Party remains strong… Incheon, People Power Party’s counterattack intensifies
“Regions that were at a slight disadvantage, especially in Seoul, are rapidly gaining ground. “Not only the Han River Belt, but also areas where competition was previously inferior, such as Dongdaemun and Seodaemun, have changed into a close race.” (People Power Party official)
“There is a clear upward trend in the metropolitan area, with Seocho-eul in Seoul, which was inferior, even catching up to the competition. “With the current momentum, it is expected that up to 90 seats out of the total 122 seats in the metropolitan area will be available.” (Democratic Party official)
On the 7th, the Dong-A Ilbo interviewed officials from each city and provincial party of the People Power Party and the Democratic Party, as well as key party leadership officials, and found that in the metropolitan area, where 122 seats, nearly half of the total 254 seats, were at stake, the People Power Party won at least 15 seats and as many as 30 seats. It is understood that the Democratic Party expects the number of seats to range from a minimum of 78 to a maximum of 90.
Starting from the early voting held on the 5th and 6th, the ruling and opposition parties generally agreed that the Democratic Party’s strong trend was maintained in the game, while the People Power Party’s counterattack in Incheon intensified. However, in the case of Seoul, the analysis of the People Power Party, which said that the controversy surrounding the Democratic Party’s Kim Jun-hyuk (Suwon Jeong, Gyeonggi Province) and Yang Moon-seok (Ansan Gap, Gyeonggi Province) was actually appearing in the votes, and the Democratic Party’s analysis that the ‘government judgment theory’ had become stronger, resulted in a competition for votes until the last minute. It looks like this is going to get fiercer.
● People Power Party “Close battles in 18 districts in Seoul”
As of this day, the People Power Party predicts that it is dominant in 7 districts in Gangnam 3-gu, excluding Songpa-byeong, and 8 districts, including Dongjak-eul. In addition, it was seen that competition was taking place in 18 constituencies in Seoul, including Yongsan, Mapo-gap, Seodaemun-gap, and Gwangjin-gap, as well as areas outside the Han River belt, such as Dongdaemun-gap and Dobong-gap. An official from the People Power Party’s election committee in the Seoul area said, “The situation is changing due to Candidate Kim’s ‘Ewha Womans University sexual bribery remarks’ and Candidate Yang’s ‘suspicion of fraudulent loans’,” and added, “Including the areas where the race is strong, they are expected to win more than 15 seats. “There is,” he said.
The ruling party believes that voters in Incheon, which had a difficult time throughout the election, are responding late. So far, the People Power Party has classified Incheon Dong-Michuhol (People Power Party candidate Yoon Sang-hyeon – Democratic Party candidate Nam Young-hee), which are the constituencies of active lawmakers, and Jung-Ganghwa-Ongjin (People Power Party Bae Jun-young – Democratic Party candidate Cho Taek-sang) as inferior regions. However, Yeonsu-gap (People Power Party candidate Jeong Seung-yeon and Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae) gained the upper hand, and including Gyeyang-eul and Yeonsu-eul, where the ‘Myeongryong (Lee Jae-myung and Won Hee-ryong) battle’ unfolded, Dong-Michuholgap, the existing strong conservative region, became contested areas. I think it has changed.
However, analysis suggests that the Gyeonggi region is still struggling. There are only four places that the People Power Party considers as superior regions: Bundang, Seongnam, Gyeonggi Province, Pocheon-Gapyeong, Dongducheon-Yangju-Yeoncheon, and Yeoju-Yangpyeong. Here, along with Seongnam Bundang Gap, 6 other places, including Yongin Gap and Byeong, Pyeongtaek Byeong, Icheon, and Gimpo Eul, are classified as competing, but the atmosphere is “worth a try.” The People Power Party won 7 seats in Gyeonggi Province in the 21st general election. A party official said, “Given the distribution of voters favoring the opposition party in the Gyeonggi region, the theory of judging the regime seems to be more effective.”
● Democratic Party “Conservative stronghold, Seocho, switches race”
The Democratic Party believed that the framework for criticizing the regime centered on the Han River Belt in Seoul was further solidified through early voting. As a result, out of a total of 48 districts, 35, excluding 4 inferior districts such as Gangnam-gap/Byeong, Seocho-gap, and Songpa-eul, were classified as superior and 9 as inferior. A key official from the Democratic Party’s Strategy Department said, “It is believed that Seocho-eul, one of the most conservative areas, has changed from an inferior area to a competitive area after early voting.” “There is,” he analyzed. An official from the Seoul Democratic Party also said, “The situation is also showing that voters in the Seoul area are reacting sensitively to the ‘big wave controversy’.”
The Democratic Party is showing strong confidence in the Gyeonggi region. Externally, about 33 out of 60 districts in the Gyeonggi region are considered advantageous districts, but internally, there are expectations that about 44 districts can be secured if competitive advantage districts are included. In addition, some predict that close to 50 seats can be secured if the results are good in the 10 contested constituencies such as Bundang-Gap/Eul, Yongin-Gap/Byeong, and Uiwang-Gwacheon. A Gyeonggi-area candidate from the Democratic Party said, “The controversies surrounding candidates Kim Jun-hyuk and Yang Moon-seok do not appear to have much of an impact on the political situation in the metropolitan area. Since Gyeonggi is the political hometown of Lee Jae-myung, leader of the Democratic Party who served as governor, there is definitely a friendly atmosphere for the Democratic Party.” He said.
However, it is analyzed that Incheon’s upward trend slowed somewhat after early voting. This is because the gap narrowed through competition as the People Power Party was allowed to catch up in Yeonsu-eul and Dong-Michuholgap, where the Democratic Party had the upper hand until the early voting. An official from the Democratic Party’s campaign committee said, “The unity of conservatives due to high early voting turnout is noticeable, especially in areas where the gap was narrow among the dominant areas.”
Reporter Kang Seong-hwi [email protected]
Reporter Kim Jun-il [email protected]
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2024-04-08 12:11:55