2024-04-09 14:37:12
In the April 10 general election, the People Power Party and the Democratic Party predicted about 50 locations across the country as competitive areas. According to the results of a survey conducted before the ban on public opinion polls and an analysis of the situation within the ruling and opposition parties, the metropolitan area, including the Han River Belt, and the Yeongnam and Chungcheong areas are expected to be the biggest battlegrounds in this general election.
According to the People Power Party and the Democratic Party on the 8th, the two parties classified 50 to 55 regions across the country, including the Han River Belt (11 regions), the Nakdong River Belt (10 regions), and some districts in the Chungcheong region, as competitive regions in this general election.
The biggest battleground is the metropolitan area. In the metropolitan area, 122 seats, or nearly half of the total 254 constituency seats, are at stake. Among these, there are 11 districts in Seoul classified as the Han River Belt, including △Yongsan △Mapo-gap △Mapo-eul △Jung-Seongdong-gap △Jung-Seongdong △Gwangjin-Gap △Gwangjin-eul △Yeongdeungpo-Gap △Yeongdeungpo-eul △Dongjak-Gap △Dongjak-eul. It is considered a key battleground.
In Seoul, it is reported that Yongsan, Dongjak, Yeongdeungpo, and Jung-Seongdong-gu in the Han River Belt are being identified as battlegrounds. According to the most recent survey conducted by Gallup Korea at the request of the Seoul Economic Daily, extracting wireless phone numbers and mobile phone virtual numbers on the 2nd and 3rd and conducting wireless phone interviews, Democratic Party candidate Kang Tae-woong (47%) is behind People Power Party candidate Kwon Young-se (40%). %) and the margin of error of ±4.4% points (p).
In Dongjak-eul, People Power Party candidate Na Kyung-won and Democratic Party candidate Ryu Sam-young are engaged in a fierce battle. According to the results of a survey conducted by Gallup Korea using the same method commissioned by the Seoul Economic Daily, candidate Na received an approval rating of 48% and candidate Ryu received an approval rating of 43%, confirming that they are in a close race within the margin of error.
Yeongdeungpo-eul is also considered one of the battlegrounds within the Han River Belt. According to the latest public opinion poll (KBS commissioned Hankook Research and conducted on the 1st to 3rd), Democratic Party candidate Kim Min-seok received an approval rating of 43%, while People Power Party candidate Park Yong-chan received an approval rating of 42%, showing a close race with a 1% point gap. . The survey was conducted through a wireless phone interview by extracting wireless phone numbers and mobile phone virtual numbers.
In the central and Seongdong districts, the close race between Democratic Party candidate Park Seong-jun and People Power Party candidate Lee Hye-hoon is hot. According to the latest results of a survey conducted by Gallup Korea through wireless phone interviews by extracting wireless phone numbers and mobile phone virtual numbers on the 1st and 2nd at the request of JoongAng Ilbo, Candidate Park received an approval rating of 43% and Candidate Lee received an approval rating of 41%. The gap between the two candidates was 2% points.
Four years ago, in the 21st general election, the Democratic Party won 107 of the 121 seats in the metropolitan area, including Incheon and Gyeonggi, and swept a total of 180 seats. Specifically, 41 of 49 seats in Seoul, 51 of 59 seats in Gyeonggi, and 11 of 13 seats in Incheon gave strength to the Democratic Party. In this general election, the People Power Party is said to view 26 places, including 15 in Seoul and 11 in Incheon and Gyeonggi, as battlegrounds, while the Democratic Party views 20 places in Seoul, Incheon and Gyeonggi as battlegrounds.
The Nakdong River Belt, the largest battleground in the Yeongnam region, refers to the progressive region of the PK region with a strong conservative color, including Gyeongnam, Yangsan-gap, Yangsan, Gimhae-gap, Gimhae-eul and Busan, Saha-gap, Saha-eul, Buk-gap, Buk-eul, Gangseo and Sasang. In the 21st general election, the Democratic Party was supported in 3 districts in the Nakdong River Belt out of 16 districts in Gyeongnam. In Busan, two out of three active members of the Democratic Party belong to the Nakdong River Belt.
The biggest battleground in the Nakdong River Belt is the Busan South constituency, where Democratic Party candidate Park Jae-ho and People Power Party candidate Park Soo-young face off. In the latest public opinion poll conducted by the Korea Social Opinion Research Institute on the 2nd and 3rd at the request of CBS, candidate Jae-ho Park received an approval rating of 47.6%, and candidate Park Soo-young received an approval rating of 46.5%. The gap between the two candidates is 1.1%p. The survey was conducted by extracting wireless telephone virtual numbers and using the wireless automated response (ARS) method.
A fierce battle is also expected in North Korea, where Democratic Party candidate Chung Myung-hee and People Power Party candidate Park Seong-hoon face off. As a result of a survey by the Korea Social Opinion Research Institute, which extracted virtual numbers of wireless phones on the 1st and 2nd at the request of Busan Ilbo and Busan MBC and conducted a wireless ARS method, Candidate Chung received an approval rating of 48.7% and Candidate Park received an approval rating of 45.2%, showing that they are in a very close race. It was counted.
Yangsan-eul, where People Power Party candidate Yoon Young-seok and Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-young face off, is also one of the battlegrounds in the Nakdong River Belt. According to the results of a survey conducted by the Korea Political Research Association (KOPRA) by extracting wireless phone number virtual numbers and landline phone number RDDs on the 30th and 31st of last month at the request of Yangsan Newspaper using wired and wireless ARS methods, Candidate Yoon received 50.7% and Candidate Lee received 43.3%. It is a close race with a % approval rating within the margin of error (±4.4%p).
Gimhae-gap, where Democratic Party candidate Min Hong-cheol and People Power Party candidate Park Seong-ho face each other, is also a close race within the margin of error. Korea Research was commissioned by KBS Changwon to extract wireless phone numbers and mobile phone virtual numbers from the 38th to 30th of last month and conducted a survey through wireless phone interviews. According to the results, Candidate Min’s approval rating was 37% and Candidate Park’s approval rating was 32%, a 5% point increase. There was a gap.
This general election is expected to be greatly influenced by public sentiment in the Chungcheong region. Chungcheong is called a wind vane of public sentiment that rides the ‘wind’ of the election because of its light regional color and many moderate voters. In the Chungcheong region, a total of 28 seats are at stake, including 8 in North Chungcheong, 11 in South Chungcheong, 7 in Daejeon, and 2 in Sejong. In the 21st general election, 20 seats in the Chungcheong region were lost to the Democratic Party.
In the North Chungcheong region, Cheongju Seowon, Boeun, Okcheon, Yeongdong, and Goesan are located in two places, and in South Chungcheong Province, △Gongju, Buyeo, Cheongyang, △Hongseong, Yesan, △Boryeong, and Seocheon are the three places where the People Power Party and Democratic Party candidates are in close competition. It is expected to be a fierce battlefield.
Reporter Kim Jeong-hyeon Photo News 1
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2024-04-09 14:37:12