2024-06-03 06:21:02
A complete of 202,556 voters from everywhere in the world will vote by mail, of which 153,322 are inside Greece. If one considers that that is the primary time that this explicit challenge has been carried out, and actually in elections that historically have decreased curiosity, the federal government and the competent Ministry of the Inside, which largely “ran” the marketing campaign, have each cause to be happy.
Evaluation of the qualitative knowledge, nevertheless, reveals very fascinating information, which the federal government is making an allowance for and incorporating into pre-election planning.
How do the social gathering staffs “learn” the variety of individuals registered in Attica and Thessaloniki.
Of the 153,322 voters of the inside who selected the postal vote, in Attica there are 46,548.
This virtually implies that Attiki, the biggest geographical area of the nation, which is nearly half of Greece, within the postal vote is simply 30.5% of these registered. 17-30 yr olds make up a mean of 16.9%, which in Attica corresponds to 7,000-8,000 voters aged 17-30.
The “translation” of this quantity on the sector implies that the younger voters, who will both go away to work on the islands, or will work on the seashores and within the vacationer districts of Attica, or on that day are more likely to go for a swim, might to represent the “black gap” of the elections.
The very same image exists within the different massive city heart, Thessaloniki, the place a complete of 12,920 voters declared that they’d vote by mail, a quantity that corresponds to eight.43% of these registered nationwide. This share can also be decrease than the inhabitants share of Thessaloniki nationwide, which is over 10%.
Within the sub-weighted median evaluation, the 17-30 who will vote by mail are between 2,000-3,000 voters. All the above results in a political conclusion: the likelihood of abstention within the two largest city facilities general within the citizens and particularly among the many youth is excessive, which makes the ultimate end result appear like quicksand, since nobody is aware of the way it will have an effect on the result of the election.
An extra attribute of the fluidity that this period can have is that the shear between N.D. and SYRIZA within the 17-30 age group has been closed for the reason that nationwide elections which have been 11 models and particularly the N.D. had acquired 31% and SYRIZA 20%. The newest measurements present that the N.D. it strikes between 25%-27% and SYRIZA at 21%-23% and PASOK follows with 14%-16%. Due to this fact the vote among the many younger ages appears extra divided and the potential abstention might in the end have an effect on the events equally.
The excursions
The above converges with the data that desires Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis to make excursions in Attica in the previous few days, elevating the tempo the place half of the nation’s citizens is.
On the similar time, nevertheless, if somebody reads the detailed knowledge for Greece, they are going to see that the participation for the postal vote is especially passable per prefecture.
It needs to be famous that 93,854 residents, excluding Attica and Thessaloniki, selected to vote by mail, a quantity that isn’t in any respect negligible, because it corresponds to a big Greek metropolis.
Supply kathimerini.gr
Stavros Papantoniou