Is Covid-19 Regaining Energy in Brittany? Evaluation of the Newest Information and Traits

2024-06-22 04:00:02

A sick colleague, an outbreak of a number of circumstances in his college or in a neighborhood firm… Covid-19 has resurfaced in conversations however has it regained energy, particularly in Brittany? One of the best indicators – the incidence charge and the variety of hospitals – after leaving, we should seek the advice of different figures to measure the doable revival of an epidemic. Suggestions from common practitioners within the Sentinelles community, for instance. In his bulletin overlaying the week of June 10 to 16, Brittany appears to have, by far, the very best incidence charge of acute respiratory infections, up considerably in a single week, with 434 circumstances per 100,000 inhabitants. Positive, the boldness interval continues to be very vast (from 300 to 568) and the indicator is imperfect as a result of it mixes covid-19, flu and different respiratory viruses, but it surely appears to point out a rise within the unfold of the SARS virus- Cov-. 2 within the area.

One other index: the positivity charge, that’s to say the proportion of optimistic checks out of all these carried out, additionally locations Britain within the first nationwide rank, ie with a “rating” of 28% at the start of June.

New Omicron subvariant

“It’s growing a bit of, at low noise,” confirms Bertrand Gagnière, an epidemiologist. inside the French Public Well being Wales unit. “We’re noticing a rise within the variety of suspected covid-19 in SOS physician consultations and emergency room visits.” These lead to folks being hospitalized in 40% of circumstances and primarily have an effect on folks aged 65 and over. In any case, this epidemic wave has nothing in widespread with the affected person tsunami of 2020 and 2021. “We’re not going again into the pink, suspected covid-19 solely represents 0, 5% of the emergency exercise,” Bertrand asserts . Gagniere.

It is exhausting to grasp why Britain appears to be extra influential this time round. The drivers of this resurgence of covid-19 appear to be the identical once more, based on the consultants: a brand new subvariant of the Omicron household, descended from JN.1, is outperforming the others, due to its potential extra escapes. immune defenses. Along with this there’s a doable discount in collective immunity. But additionally gloomy climate that would lead, in Brittany particularly, to it remaining restricted, which favors the unfold of the virus.

Two vaccination campaigns per 12 months

Bertrand Gagnière invitations us to not take covid-19 flippantly: “Positive, viruses from the Omicron household are extra contagious however much less aggressive. However, among the many most susceptible, they will trigger injury. Within the hospital for respiratory infections, they’ll survive usually. However, in the long run, they usually lose autonomy.”

So as to keep away from these hospitals, the French Public Well being physician is demanding that essentially the most susceptible be vaccinated recurrently, as a result of the immunity given by the vaccine disappears over time: “For many who are over 65, there’s one reminder per 12 months, all year long. harvest marketing campaign. For these over 80, nursing residence residents, or folks with vital well being issues, there’s additionally a reminder within the spring.”

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