2024-06-23 15:51:51
Creator: Elchin Alioglu
Supply: Pattern
Hearings on the referendum on the nation’s membership within the European Union might be held right this moment within the Armenian parliament. Armenian mass media stories that a rare assembly of the Parliament’s European Integration Standing Committee has been known as on this regard. The “Platform of Democratic Forces of Armenia”, which unites a number of political forces – “Republic”, “Christian Democratic Celebration”, “For the sake of the Republic” and “European Celebration of Armenia” made a proposal concerning the referendum. Arman Babajanyan, the chief of the “For the Republic” occasion, mentioned that the aim of the referendum is to extend the soundness and stability of Armenia.
At first sight, behind Armenia’s want to combine into the European Union, there’s a proposal to carry a referendum within the nation. This concept was undoubtedly the topic of great dialogue on the political degree of Armenia.
However when evaluating the problem from a authorized viewpoint, it turns into clear that that is only a declaration of intent. This strategy might be in comparison with the “referendum” held within the Transnistrian area of Moldova a number of years in the past; in that referendum, it was claimed that native residents expressed their “want to turn out to be a part of Russia”.
In the identical means, the referendum on membership within the European Union, which might be held on the eve of the presidential elections in Moldova, is a proper act of choice, which won’t have any authorized and political penalties, and is a purely declarative-propaganda act.
The thought of a referendum on integration into the European Union in Armenia is extra a product of deepening discussions within the inner political house of Armenia. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan put ahead the thought of holding referendums with the intention to strengthen the legitimacy of his authorities and guarantee stability in home politics. Amongst these referendums, it’s proposed to carry a vote on the demarcation and delimitation of the conditional state border between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Such a populist and demagogic proposal has turn out to be extra related particularly towards the background of violent protests towards Pashinyan’s authorities.
Nonetheless, delimitation and demarcation, to be extra particular, the procedures to be accompanied by the method of liberating our 4 villages which might be nonetheless beneath Armenian occupation, don’t rely upon any referendum, and Baku shouldn’t be within the outcomes.
Let’s assume that Nikol Pashinyan’s proposal got here true, a referendum was held and the vast majority of votes had been “sure” based on the want of official Yerevan.
The logical burden of this vote is small, as a result of along with our nation, there ought to be a referendum on modifications to the Structure, which incorporates territorial claims towards Turkey.
If those that mentioned “no” prevail within the referendum, this won’t have an effect on the positions of Baku. Whatever the place of the Armenian authorities or society, official Iravan ought to liberate the 4 villages it has occupied since 32 years, full the demarcation and delimitation of the standard state border, and signal the ultimate peace settlement.
The primary cause for Nikol Pashinyan’s proposals concerning the referendum is that the legitimacy of the Armenian authorities has been broken as a result of political disaster within the nation and the rising strain of the opposition. The protests, which had been nominally led by the “opposition chief” Archbishop Bagrat, i.e. Vazgen Galstanyan, significantly undermined Pashinyan’s recognition. For that reason, the Pashinyan authorities is making an attempt to make use of the referendum as a method to realize some form of “political immunity”.
N. Pashinyan intends to share the tensions in Armenia’s international coverage not solely on the authorities degree, however with the entire society. This may also be thought of as a step taken by the opposition to weaken civil protests and sway public opinion in its favor.
As for the authorized penalties of the referendum to be held in Armenia, the significance of this step is extra symbolic. This referendum has no authorized foundation and won’t have an effect on any worldwide authorized doc. That is largely an try to alter the sensation of disappointment of the Armenian political elite in direction of Russia with the will to get nearer to the European Union.
Armenia’s want to combine into the European Union can’t be realized with out contemplating the geographical and strategic realities. Armenia is a rustic in Russia’s geopolitical sphere of affect, and this creates critical obstacles for independence in its international coverage. The event of relations with the European Union can solely result in radical modifications in Armenia’s international coverage, which suggests altering the established order within the area.
The truth that the thought of referendums doesn’t have an effect on the sensible outcomes reveals that it has extra of a political message and symbolic significance. That is an try to strengthen the political legitimacy of Pashinyan’s rule and exhibit the dedication of the Armenian individuals to European values. The will to combine into the European Union could be a stimulating issue for the event of democracy and the rule of legislation in Armenia. Nonetheless, for the belief of this want, it’s essential to deepen each political and financial reforms and guarantee stability within the area.
The implementation of Armenia’s want to combine into the European Union, in truth, requires the answer of many advanced points. This requires each the acceleration of inner reforms and the formation of insurance policies in keeping with the brand new geopolitical realities within the area. The holding of referendums is just one stage of this course of, and needed steps ought to be taken to make sure political stability in Armenia, speed up financial improvement and additional strengthen relations with the European Union.
In recent times, Armenia’s strategy to the West, particularly France, and its fast arming in accordance with these pointers, has the potential to create critical dangers and threats for the South Caucasus area.
Lately, Armenia has began to get nearer to the West, particularly to France. This rapprochement is primarily defined by Armenia’s want to get out of regional isolation and obtain help from Western international locations.
France strongly helps Armenia’s integration with the West and strengthening its relations with the European Union. This help is manifested in each diplomatic and navy spheres. France’s navy help and directions to Armenia led to the fast arming of this nation and the rise of its navy potential.
The fast arming of Armenia and the help it receives from the West can result in a disruption of the steadiness within the South Caucasus area and the emergence of recent dangers.
Speedy arming of Armenia upsets the steadiness of navy energy within the area. The potential for a navy battle between Azerbaijan and Armenia is growing and this may occasionally result in elevated tensions within the area. Violation of the navy steadiness within the area can result in the emergence of larger-scale conflicts.
Navy assist and arms provide to Armenia might trigger different international locations within the area to arm themselves. It will result in the beginning of an arms race and elevated rigidity within the South Caucasus. A rise within the arms race can result in instability within the area and weakening of peace processes.
The rise in weapons within the area creates circumstances for additional activation of Armenian terrorist teams and separatist actions. This will likely destabilize the South Caucasus and result in the emergence of recent battle facilities. The proliferation of unlawful weapons, the resurgence of Armenian terrorism and revanchism, in fact, additional weakens safety within the area.
Following the directions of the West, particularly France, Armenia is making critical modifications in its international coverage. These modifications create new geopolitical realities within the area and weaken present alliances.
Armenia’s orientation in direction of the West and its rapprochement with France result in the straining of relations with Russia. Russia is a standard ally of Armenia, and this rapprochement might result in a lower in Moscow’s affect within the area. It will result in the emergence of recent geopolitical balances within the area.
The arming of Armenia and the help of the West can result in the stress of relations with Turkey. Turkey is a detailed ally of Azerbaijan, and arming Armenia might be perceived as a risk by Ankara. This will likely result in a rise in rigidity between Turkey and Armenia and the emergence of recent dangers of battle.
The fast arming of Armenia in accordance with the directions of the West creates critical dangers and threats for the South Caucasus area. This course of can result in the disruption of the regional steadiness, the beginning of an arms race and the emergence of recent dangers of battle. With a purpose to guarantee stability and peace within the area, it is vital for all events to conduct a accountable and constructive coverage.
All international locations within the area ought to work collectively to extend mutual belief, restrict armaments and resolve conflicts by way of diplomatic means. As a substitute of supporting the arming of Armenia, Western international locations ought to pursue insurance policies geared toward guaranteeing peace and stability within the area. Armenia ought to take note of dialogue and cooperation with the intention to guarantee its safety and improvement, and conduct a accountable coverage to make sure stability and peace within the area.