2024-08-06 05:15:35
President Daniel Noboa has a 52% approval rating and a 39% rejection rating, according to the results of a survey conducted by Comunicaliza and presented by its manager, Álvaro Marchante.
Marchante recalled that President Noboa’s approval rating reached 82% when he declared the internal armed conflict and designated 22 organized crime groups as terrorists. However, he noted that three subsequent extraordinary events significantly reduced his popularity:
- The increase in VAT, which resulted in a drop of 15 points.
- The blackouts, which cost him an additional 9 points.
- The increase in the price of Extra and Ecopaís gasoline, which reduced its popularity by approximately 8 points.
These events reduced Noboa’s approval rating by 30 points in total, he explained, pointing out that only between 32 and 36% of Ecuadorians would be willing to vote for the national president’s reelection.
The survey also included simulations of voting intentions for the upcoming presidential elections. Noboa leads with 32-36%, followed by Luisa González of Correísmo with 22% and Gustavo Jalk with 18%. Leonidas Iza obtained between 3% and 4%. Blank and spoiled votes represent between 11% and 12%, while undecided votes are between 25% and 27%. The rest of the possible candidates occupy the remaining percentage.
However, Marchante believes it is premature to speak of valid voting intentions, given the amount of time remaining until the elections and the lack of definition of many candidates.
On the other hand, the study also showed a decrease in support for Correa, which fell from 35% to 24% of the population in the last year. At the same time, anti-Correa support increased from 15% to 20%, with 39% of the population not having a clear position for or against the Citizen Revolution.
Finally, the Comunicaliza survey identified that in 2021, insecurity was a concern for 3% of the population, while in January of this year, 50% considered it the main problem. However, currently, 47% of the population believes that economic problems, such as unemployment, debt, poverty or price increases, are more important than insecurity, except in the provinces of Guayas and Los Ríos, where insecurity remains the main concern.