The approval rating of Vice President Kamala Harris, who was officially nominated as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate on the 5th, is steadily rising. Recently, Vice President Harris has been leading the approval rating of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in national opinion polls as well as in key battleground states.>>
However, opinions are divided on whether this upward trend in approval ratings will continue. Some say that it remains to be seen whether the upward trend will continue, as Vice President Harris, who became a candidate after President Joe Biden suddenly withdrew from the presidential race, is still experiencing the ‘honeymoon effect’. On the other hand, some analyze that the upward trend is likely to continue, as approval ratings are rising not only nationwide but also in swing states. In particular, the ‘TV debate’ between Vice President Harris and candidate Trump to be held on the 10th of next month is expected to be a turning point in the November presidential election.
● Harris’s Five Tasks
On the 12th, the American political media outlet Politico listed the five major tasks that Vice President Harris must solve in order to become president: △press conferences, △responding to attacks from the Trump camp, △economic issues, △borders and immigration, and agendas related to Israel.
Vice President Harris has not held an official press conference or interview since becoming the Democratic presidential candidate. This is interpreted as being related to the criticism she received several times during her early interviews on immigration, showing her immaturity. When she met with reporters on the 8th, she was asked six questions, but her answers were all short, no longer than two sentences, the Washington Post (WP) reported.
Trump is pushing Harris, saying, “Harris is not smart enough to hold a press conference. She is not competent enough.” With less than three months left until the November 5 election, it is difficult to continue avoiding contact with the press.
Politico also sees it as important how he responds to Trump’s verbal abuse and personal attacks in the TV debate next month. Trump has previously claimed that Vice President Harris has a “low IQ” and that “she became Vice President only because she is a black woman.” This is interpreted to mean that he needs to be able to offer a clear and persuasive rebuttal to Trump.
The illegal immigration issue that Vice President Harris was in charge of is also considered a variable that can change the vote. Candidate Trump, who touts the construction of a border wall as an achievement during his term, attacks Vice President Harris as an “incompetent border czar.”
Another point of interest is how he will answer questions about the Middle East, the “powder keg of the world,” such as the solution to the U.S. economy, which has recently been warning of a recession due to a series of sluggish economic indicators, and the possibility of an all-out war between Israel and Iran.
● Harris Aheads Trump in National Polls
On the 12th, another political media outlet, The Hill, and the election website Decision Desk HQ averaged the results of 114 recent opinion polls, and Vice President Harris’s national approval rating was 47.8%. She was ahead of candidate Trump (46.4%) by 1.4 percentage points.
Vice President Harris has been ahead of Trump in national support since the 4th, the day before the presidential election. At that time, she was ahead of Trump by 0.2 percentage points, but she has narrowly widened the gap to 0.9 percentage points on the 7th, 1.0 percentage points on the 9th, and 1.4 percentage points on the 12th.
In particular, Vice President Harris beat Trump by 4 percentage points in a survey targeting three states that have relatively large electoral votes among the seven battleground states that will determine the presidential election: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona. These states initially had a strong Democratic leaning, but Trump won in all of them in the 2016 presidential election.
There is also a sense of rising support for Vice President Harris among young voters in battleground states. According to a survey of voters aged 18-29 in seven battleground states commissioned by the Democratic super PAC Want Pac Now and conducted by the polling firm Socialsphere, Vice President Harris received 51% of the support, leading Trump by 9 percentage points (42%). Although the survey was commissioned by a Democratic Party-affiliated organization, it is a significant difference from the same survey a month ago, where Biden (44%) trailed Trump (48%).
Reporter Choi Ji-seon [email protected]
Reporter Lee Cheong-ah [email protected]
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2024-08-13 12:43:24