Analysis estimates at least 39 million deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections between now and 2050 – Health and Medicine

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2024-09-24 09:58:04

Forecasts show that deaths will grow in the coming decades, with an increase of 70% in 2050 compared to 2022, and will affect the elderly first.

Antibiotic resistance is a major challenge for global health. The development of ‘superbacteria’, microorganisms capable of changing the effect of different types of antimicrobial, threatens to reverse many of the advances made by Medicine in recent decades. If we do not stop the increase in pathogens that are able to resist the action of treatments, such daily interventions as tooth extraction will not be able to be done safely.

Experts in Microbiology and Hair Diseases have been warning about this danger for years, but at the moment the future prospects are not very promising. This is demonstrated by a study published this Monday in the journal The lancet which shows that antibiotic resistance could cause more than 39 million deaths between now and 2050 if the trend does not change.

The work, developed by researchers from the Global Research Project on Antimicrobial Resistance (GRAM), analyzes the impact of the public health problem between 1990 and 2021 and estimates its progress for the next 25 years in countries -204 languages ​​around the world.

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Their results show that between 1990 and 2021 there will be more than one million deaths a year due to antibiotic resistance. In all that time, infant mortality rates from this cause have decreased by 50%; However, deaths in people over 70 years old do not stop growing, increasing by more than 80%. And, according to research statistics, this trend will continue to rise in the coming years if measures are not taken to stop the problem.

“Antimicrobial treatments are one of the cornerstones of modern medicine and the increase in resistance to therapies is the best source,” Mohsen Naghavi, one of the project managers and researcher at the University, said in a statement of Washington (USA). “Our findings emphasize that antibiotic resistance has been a major threat to global health in recent decades and that the threat is growing. “Understanding how trends in antimicrobial resistance have changed over time and how they may change in the future is important to make informed decisions that help save lives,” he added. C. Garcia

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