Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have been tied in the polls for weeks, a trend that hasn’t changed according to some surveys.
A CBS News/YouGov poll shows Harris leading Trump nationally at a 50%-49% among likely voters, down slightly from the 51%-48% lead in mid-October. Other ABC News/Ipsos poll shows that Harris is leading Trump through a 51% in front of a 47% among likely voters, thanks in part to Harris’ leadership among women voters.
In this final stretch, the campaigns are sailing in search of certainty
According to a recent NYT/Siena College analysis, only the 3.7% of the electorate in key statesaround 1.2 million people, still don’t know who they will vote for.
They are citizens at heart disconnected from todayvery difficult to achieve with a political message and even more difficult to convince, even for a campaign with multi-million dollar budgets.
Which states are central in the elections?
To be elected president of the United States, one of the two must receive 270 votes.
There are seven States on the air and 93 delegates will elect who will decide the result. The seven decisive states are:
- Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes)
- Georgia (16 electoral votes)
- North Carolina (16 electoral votes)
- Michigan (15 electoral votes)
- Arizona (11 electoral votes)
- Wisconsin (10 electoral votes)
- Nevada (6 electoral votes)
A historic election campaign
On this occasion, Americans decide on a president after a historic election campaign, marked by two unprecedented events that shook the campaign.
The first relevant incident occurred on July 13, 2024when the former president and candidate Republican Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. During this event, a gunman fired eight shots from a nearby building, hitting Trump in the ear. Although Trump managed to escape alive, one person in the audience died and two others were seriously injured.
The Democratic campaign has also changed significantly. President Joe Biden, amid rumors about his physical and mental health, faced increasing internal pressure in his party after a disastrous June 2024 debate. He resigned as a candidate as a result.leaving the way open for his vice president, Kamala Harriswho accepted the Democratic candidacy.
Los donors y leaders of the Democratic Party he had expressed concern about the ability of the Biden continue in office after observing worrying signs during the campaign.