DIG/ What imbroglio have the Transition authorities just found themselves in? What could be the consequences of this position in favor of a country in « guerre » against the West? What financial gains does the country derive from these dark maritime operations?
According to researchers from the Kyiv School of Economics cited by Radio France international (RFI), Gabon would have become, since December 2023, one of the new circumstantial allies of the « great fantôime » set up by Russia.
“Moscow is using increasingly opaque jurisdictions and Gabon is one of them”underlines Benjamin Hilgenstock, economist at the Kyiv School of Economics.
This fleet of ships, also called “shadow fleet”is well known to researchers. Since the start of the war in Ukraine, the G7 and European Union countries have imposed an embargo on Moscow’s black gold. And the sanction is double.
Not only do they prohibit their members from obtaining it, but its price is capped when it is sold to other countries. Concretely, if the latter buy this oil, they pay less than 60 dollars per barrel, well below the prices in force on the market.
To continue to negotiate at the best price a crude oil vital to its economy, Russia has therefore set up a “ghost fleet” capable of circumventing Western sanctions. And Gabon is actively participating in it.
Requested by RFI, the Gabonese Ministry of Transport has sent a list of 28 ships from which the authorities have withdrawn the flag for “non-compliant activity”without further details.
According to information from RFI, of these 28 ships, 13 then immediately passed under the Russian flag.
(Source : RFI)
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Interview between Time.news Editor and Maritime Security Expert
Time.news Editor (TNE): Thank you for joining us today to discuss the recent developments concerning Gabon and its maritime operations. First, can you provide some context on the situation? What exactly has led the Transition authorities in Gabon into this imbroglio?
Maritime Security Expert (MSE): Absolutely, and thank you for having me. Gabon has found itself in a complex situation primarily due to its recent engagements with countries involved in conflicts against Western interests. As of December 2023, researchers from the Kyiv School of Economics have indicated that Gabon has become a critical player in maritime operations that are not only underpinned by significant financial incentives but also strategic geopolitical alignments.
TNE: It’s intriguing to hear about Gabon’s position. What might be the consequences of supporting a country in “guerre” against the West?
MSE: The consequences can be quite dire. Supporting a belligerent nation can jeopardize Gabon’s international relationships, particularly with Western powers who might impose sanctions or political pressures. This support could isolate Gabon diplomatically, impacting its trade and economic partnerships, which are vital for its development. The longer Gabon maintains this position, the more entangled it may become in ongoing conflicts, which could potentially lead to destabilization within the region itself.
TNE: You mentioned financial incentives for Gabon. Could you elaborate on the financial gains they might derive from these maritime operations?
MSE: Certainly. Gabon has access to lucrative natural resources and maritime routes, which can be exploited for profit in times of geopolitical instability. These operations often involve clandestine measures, possibly including resource extraction under less stringent oversight or engaging in trade with states that isolate themselves from international law. This can lead to short-term financial gains through illicit activities, but long-term sustainability and legality of such operations are significant concerns.
TNE: Given these potential financial benefits, do you think the Gabonese authorities see the risks involved as worth it?
MSE: It’s a classic case of short-term gain versus long-term viability. The current authorities might perceive immediate financial benefits as a way to bolster their position domestically. However, the risks are substantial. Ignoring international norms could result in alienation from critical economic partners, potentially leading to a downward spiral where they ultimately lose more than they gain.
TNE: That’s a sobering perspective. As an expert, what recommendations would you offer to Gabon’s Transition authorities to navigate this complex situation?
MSE: I would recommend establishing a clear diplomatic dialogue with Western nations and seeking collaborative approaches to address their legitimate needs for security and development. Transparency in maritime operations, ensuring compliance with international laws, and fostering partnerships that don’t compromise their political integrity would be key. Sustainable development and maintaining diplomatic ties can ultimately lead to enduring stability.
TNE: Thank you for providing these insights. It’s evident that Gabon is at a crossroads, and the choices made now could have lasting impacts. We appreciate your expertise on this critical issue.
MSE: Thank you for having me. It’s essential to keep discussions like this alive as we navigate the complexities of global maritime security and international relations.