2024-11-06 00:22:00
Over the course of their respective campaigns, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have concentrated their efforts on seven states, where voters alternately vote for Democrats or Republicans (hence the name oscillating states, crucial states): the PennsylvaniaTHE GeorgiaTHE North CarolinaTHE MichigantheArizonaTHE Wisconsin and the Nevada.
The American vote, in fact, is an election by indirect universal suffrage during which citizens designate the electors who make up the electoral college and vote for them. In all, 538 voters, distributed across the 50 states, nominate the president. In most states (except Maine and Nevada), the candidate who finishes first wins all of his or her electors. This system of winner takes all place them oscillating states at the center of every electoral strategy.
For each of these states, crucial for these elections, the results are published by the American agency Associated Press, thus allowing the evolution of the elections to be followed live.
Pennsylvania
Number of voters : 19
Pennsylvanians are among the Americans who have suffered the most from inflation, so much so that one in eight residents suffers from food insecurity. This traditionally Democratic state, where Donald Trump created a surprise in 2016, was won by Joe Biden in 2020, no doubt in part because of his connection to the working-class city of Scranton, where he grew up.
Georgia
Number of voters : 16
Atlanta and its suburbs represent half the population of the “Peanut State”; suffice it to say that the political weight of the city is considerable, especially since the suburbs have stopped being republican and are instead populated by African Americans – 30% of the state’s population – and by graduates, especially Democrats. In 2020, Biden won this key state by a narrow margin, as President Trump lobbied the governor for him ” Find “ 11,800 votes are needed to reverse the trend.
North Carolina
Number of voters : 16
In this state, the last four elections have been decided by less than four percentage points. In 2020, Donald Trump won by just 1.3 points (74,483 votes).
For the 2024 election, polls predicted a big Trump victory in this state earlier in the year, before showing a turnaround in favor of Kamala Harris starting in mid-August, according to the think tank Cook Political Report . However, the task will be difficult for the vice president, in a state that has put the Democratic candidate in the lead only twice in the last fifty years: Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008.
Michigan
Number of voters: 15
Like Wisconsin, Michigan has put the winner of the last two presidential elections in the lead. Demographically, the Great Lakes State has the largest percentage of Arab-Americans in the country – a demographic whose clout Democrats may lack without yielding to Republicans, who are very close to the government’s positions. Benjamin Netanyahu. In the Michigan Democratic primary, more than 100,000 voters chose the option.” not busy” to their vote, after a campaign by activists calling for an end to military aid to Israel.
Arizona
In 2020, Joe Biden won by a narrow 0.3 point margin in the Grand Canyon State, where previous elections had gone Republican. The vote could decide on the issue of abortion in particular, while Arizona Republicans recently failed to reinstate an 1864 law that banned it completely.
Wisconsin
The Badger State – Wisconsin’s emblematic animal – clearly sided in favor of the victorious candidate, Republican Donald Trump in 2016 and Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, by a margin of about 20,000 votes each time. As a sign of its strategic importance, the Republican convention was held there in July and Kamala Harris organized her first campaign meeting there.
Nevada
Nevadans certainly voted for Democrats in the last election, by a narrow margin, but there is no indication that this advantage will be solid for 2024, especially since the state has the third highest unemployment rate in the United States, with 5.2%. Both candidates also sought to appeal to Latino voters, who make up about 20% of the state’s population.
He Badger State voters
As the 2024 US presidential election draws nearer, Wisconsin remains a battleground that both parties aim to secure. Democrat Joe Biden’s narrow victory in this state in 2020 was a crucial part of his overall success, and the slim margins in both 2016 and 2020 illustrate its pivotal role in the electoral process. The state has shown a propensity for flipping between parties, making it a key target for both presidential candidates.
With shifts in voter demographics, particularly among younger voters and communities of color, the parties face unique challenges in appealing to these groups. Organizing efforts, engagement in local issues, and addressing the concerns of Wisconsinites will be critical as candidates work to gain an advantage in this politically volatile landscape.
The upcoming elections will not only test the strategies of the candidates but also the existing political landscape shaped by recent events and emerging issues. The stakes are high, and both parties recognize that a victory in Wisconsin could be a decisive factor in the overall outcome of the election.
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This summary reflects on the political dynamics in key battleground states as the 2024 presidential election approaches and emphasizes the importance of voter engagement strategies. Would you like to explore any specific aspects or additional details?