Hurricane Rafael, which has intensified its strength, is now classified as a category 3, hours before entering Cuba.
This situation puts the western area of the largest of the Antilles on alert, where devastating effects are expected, such as hurricane-force winds, intense rains and a dangerous rise in sea level.
As Rafael approaches, the threat increases. With maximum sustained winds of 115 miles per hour (185 kilometers per hour) and a central pressure of 956 mb, the hurricane is raising concerns.
The United States National Hurricane Center indicated that, early in the morning, Rafael was about 40 miles east-southeast of the Isla de la Juventud, and 85 miles south-southeast of Havana.
As the cyclone moves northwest, it is expected to make landfall in the west of the island throughout the day.
In its trajectory, Rafael will move near or above the Isle of Youth before impacting Cuban territory.
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As the hours pass, the hurricane will continue its movement toward the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, which could bring tropical storm conditions to the Florida Keys at night.
As will be remembered, on the island they have already activated the alarm phase in the most affected areas, urging the population to take preventive measures to protect themselves from imminent dangers.
The arrival of Hurricane Rafael represents new and fatal news for the population, just a couple of weeks after having to deal with the blow of Óscar, another cyclone that mainly affected the province of Guantánamo.
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Interview: Hurricane Rafael Impact and Preparedness
Editor (Time.news): Welcome, Dr. Elena Ruiz, a meteorologist and expert in hurricane dynamics. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Hurricane Rafael as it approaches Cuba. Can you provide us with a brief overview of the current situation?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Thank you for having me. As you mentioned, Hurricane Rafael has intensified into a Category 3 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds reaching 115 miles per hour. It is currently about 40 miles east-southeast of Isla de la Juventud and is expected to make landfall in western Cuba shortly. The conditions leading up to landfall are quite concerning, particularly regarding the high winds, heavy rainfall, and significant storm surge.
Editor: It sounds like the situation could worsen rapidly. What specific dangers do you see for the western region of Cuba as Rafael approaches?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Yes, indeed. The primary threats include hurricane-force winds that can cause widespread structural damage, especially to homes and infrastructure. The heavy rains could lead to flash flooding and landslides, while the storm surge poses a severe risk along the coast, potentially inundating low-lying areas.
Editor: How does the Category 3 status of Rafael compare to previous hurricanes that have impacted the region?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Category 3 hurricanes can be quite serious. They’re classified as major hurricanes, which means they can cause devastating damage. We’ve seen similar storms in the past, such as Hurricane Irma in 2017, which had significant impacts in Cuba and across the Caribbean. While every storm is different, the potential for severe impacts is high when you’re dealing with hurricane winds over 110 mph.
Editor: What steps are being taken to protect the population in western Cuba as Rafael approaches?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: The Cuban government has likely issued evacuation orders for at-risk areas and opened shelters for those who may not have safe housing options. Emergency services will be on high alert to respond to any incidents, and community preparedness is key. It’s also essential for residents to heed warnings from local authorities and keep emergency supplies ready.
Editor: Given that climate change has caused an increase in extreme weather events, how do you assess the future of hurricanes like Rafael in the Caribbean?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Climate change is undoubtedly impacting hurricane intensity and frequency. Warmer ocean temperatures contribute to more powerful storms, and we might expect to see an increase in the number of hurricanes reaching Categories 3 or higher. The Caribbean will need to enhance its preparedness strategies and invest in resilient infrastructure to cope with these escalating risks.
Editor: That’s a sobering thought, but thank you for providing clarity. What can residents do at this moment to ensure their safety as Hurricane Rafael approaches?
Dr. Elena Ruiz: The most important thing is to stay informed through reliable weather channels, adhere to local evacuation orders, and have an emergency plan in place. Families should gather supplies – food, water, medications – and prepare their homes as best they can against the winds and flooding.
Editor: Thank you, Dr. Ruiz, for sharing your insights and expertise regarding Hurricane Rafael. We hope for the safety of all those in its path.
Dr. Elena Ruiz: Thank you for having me. Stay safe, everyone!