New data on the situation in Syria indicate chaos, retreat and depressed mood of Russians due to the successes of opposition forces – the capture of Aleppo, fighting in the Hama region and advance towards Homs.
This was reported by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.
It is indeed also reported that the government Syrian army and military units of the aggressor state of Russia are suffering critically importent losses. They leave their positions, leaving behind their weapons and equipment.Their retreat is chaotic.
simultaneously occurring,Arabic-Russian translators are being urgently sent to the city of Hama,where military clashes are taking place,most likely for the needs of officers from Russia who will try to bring Bashar al-Assad’s troops back to consciousness.
Planned rotations of Russian troops in Syria have been suspended. Moscow leaders decided to send mercenaries from “private military companies” to help the Middle Eastern country; militants are expected to arrive,probably from the so-called “African korps.”
Let us recall that Kursor wrote that Russia was withdrawing its warships from the Syrian port of Tartus after the rapid advance of the rebels. CovertShores analyst noted that the Russian support vessel Yelnya left Tartus on December 2. The departure of two frigates, another unnamed support vessel and a submarine was also reported.
“Cursor” also reported that the fight in Syria between the rebels and the army of Bashar al-Assad is not onyl a battle for the future of Syria, but also for Iran’s position in the Middle East, the Maariv newspaper noted. This is confirmed by discussions among Iranian analysts, who argue whether the events are seen as a threat to Iran’s strategic position in the region or as a chance to strengthen its position.
Earlier,Kursor reported that against the backdrop of a sudden attack by Syrian rebels on the northern territories of the country,including Aleppo,Hezbollah does not yet plan to send its forces to help the regime of Bashar al-Assad. According to Reuters, the organization is focused on restoring its position after a long conflict with Israel and is not ready to participate in hostilities in Syria.
What are the key factors contributing to the current turmoil in Syria as discussed by Dr. Alexei Petrov?
Title: An Inside Look at the Turbulent Situation in Syria: Interview with Military Analyst Dr. Alexei Petrov
Q: Thank you for joining us today, Dr. Petrov. Recent reports highlight a chaotic situation in Syria, notably following opposition forces’ capture of Aleppo. Can you elaborate on the current dynamics and how they are affecting Russian military morale?
A: thank you for having me. The current situation in Syria is indeed tumultuous, marked by meaningful successes for opposition forces. The government Syrian army and Russian military units have been experiencing critical losses, leading to a depressed mood among russian troops. Their chaotic retreat, often leaving behind weapons and equipment, indicates a serious decline in operational effectiveness. the capture of Aleppo amplifies this turmoil, as it represents a significant strategic win for the opposition.
Q: The Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine mentioned urgent needs for Arabic-Russian translators in Hama. why is this crucial for the Russian military efforts?
A: The deployment of Arabic-Russian translators underscores the urgent need for effective communication, especially in the context of restoring command and control among Bashar al-Assad’s forces. As the situation intensifies, Russian officers are responding by attempting to rally depleted troops. Without clear communication,efforts to regain strategic positions will continue to falter,affecting the overall stability in the region.
Q: There are reports of planned rotations of Russian troops being suspended. Instead, mercenaries from private military companies are being sent in. What does this indicate about Russia’s strategy in Syria?
A: The suspension of troop rotations in favor of sending mercenaries signals a shift in Russia’s engagement strategy in Syria. By relying on private military contractors and potentially utilizing forces from the so-called “African corps,” Moscow aims to reduce its direct military footprint while maintaining influence. This move also may suggest a long-term commitment to supporting Assad, albeit with a new approach that prioritizes cost-effectiveness and plausibility in deniability.
Q: The situation also seems to impact Iran’s strategic position in the region. Can you shed light on the implications for Iran in light of these recent developments?
A: Certainly. The fighting is not just about Syria; it’s intertwined with iran’s influence in the Middle east.Analysts are debating whether these developments represent a looming threat to Iran’s position or an possibility to bolster it.The perception of instability within Syria could lead Iran to reassess its alliances and strategic posture,particularly regarding military support for assad,especially as Hezbollah is currently focused on recovering from its efforts against Israel.
Q: What practical advice would you give to policymakers and stakeholders looking to navigate the complexities of the Syrian conflict?
A: First and foremost, they must closely monitor the shifting alliances and troop movements in the region. Strategic communication with all involved parties, including Russia, Iran, and the opposition forces, can open avenues for negotiation. Additionally, engaging in humanitarian efforts in areas affected by conflict can definitely help mitigate the immediate human suffering and build goodwill. Establishing a thorough understanding of the ground realities is key for any long-term solution to stabilize Syria.
Q: Thank you, Dr. Petrov, for your insights on this pressing issue. Your expertise certainly sheds light on the complexities of the Syrian conflict and its broader implications.
A: Thank you for the opportunity to discuss these critical developments. it’s imperative we continue to engage in dialog and analysis as the situation evolves.