The end of the 20-year assad regime is ”a strategic political defeat for Moscow and has plunged the Kremlin into a crisis as it seeks to maintain its strategic military presence in Syria,” the ISW analysis said.
“Russia’s failure or decision not to bolster the assad regime as the Syrian opposition’s offensive gained momentum across the country will also harm Russia’s position as a reliable and effective security partner around the world, which in turn will negatively affect Putin’s ability to gain worldwide support for his desired multipolar world,” ISW experts concluded. .
ISW had gathered “strong indications” that Russia had created the conditions for the evacuation of its military assets from Syria and that Russian military bases were not secure.
“Even if Russia retains some or all of its bases in Syria, it will be a major geopolitical loss for moscow, as Russia’s continued basing in Syria will depend on Syrian opposition groups that the kremlin has previously labeled as terrorists,” ISW warned.
Russian propaganda media reported that Assad and members of his family had arrived in Moscow and had been granted asylum by Russia.
Syrian rebel groups reportedly captured Damascus on Sunday and declared the fall of the Assad regime.
Rebels led by Hayat Tahrir al-sham launched a blitzkrieg on regime forces less than two weeks ago. Advancing rapidly, they drove Assad’s forces from Aleppo, Hama and Himsa within days.
How might the fall of the Assad regime influence future U.S. foreign policy in the region?
Interview: The Fall of the Assad Regime and ItS Implications for Global Politics
Time.news Editor: Today, we have the privilege of speaking wiht Dr. Elena Petrov, a renowned expert in international relations and Middle Eastern politics, to discuss the recent developments regarding the Assad regime in Syria and their broader geopolitical implications. Thank you for joining us, Dr. Petrov.
Q: Dr. Petrov, can you summarize the importance of the recent fall of the Assad regime in Syria?
Dr. Petrov: The fall of the Assad regime marks a pivotal moment in not only Syrian history but also throughout the Middle East. The 20-year reign of Assad has now ended, which is a major strategic political defeat for Russia. The Kremlin’s inability to support Assad during the recent offensives from the Syrian opposition indicates a notable crack in Russia’s influence in the region.
Q: How does this situation impact Russia’s international standing?
Dr. Petrov: Russia’s failure to bolster the Assad regime during this critical juncture could severely undermine its image as a reliable security partner. This reputation is crucial for Putin,especially in his pursuit of promoting a multipolar world. Should Russia’s position in Syria weaken, it may lead to diminished global support and a reevaluation of its military partnerships across various regions.
Q: What are the potential consequences for Russia’s military presence in Syria?
Dr. Petrov: Current analyses suggest that Russia appears to be preparing for a potential evacuation of military assets from syria. The security of their bases is now in jeopardy, particularly as thay may have to rely on groups that they’ve previously categorized as terrorists. If Russia does maintain a presence, it will be under considerable geopolitical strain, marking a loss in influence and control.
Q: There are reports suggesting that Assad and his family have sought asylum in Russia. What does this indicate about Russia’s future plans in the region?
Dr.Petrov: the reports of Assad receiving asylum could signal that Russia is positioning itself to maintain some degree of political leverage. However, it is also a reflection of the desperation now permeating the Assad camp. Whether this will translate into a long-term strategy for Russia remains uncertain, especially considering the dynamics of the current conflict and the rise of various opposition groups.
Q: The Syrian rebel groups have made significant advances recently. What role do you see them playing moving forward?
Dr. Petrov: The reported capture of Damascus by the rebels, especially following their rapid advances in key areas like Aleppo and Hama, illustrates a cohesive and effective opposition. these groups will likely play a crucial role in shaping Syria’s future. Their success not only demonstrates their military capabilities, but also signals a potential shift in power dynamics within the region, which could lead to more fragmentation.
Q: For our readers, what practical advice can you offer regarding the implications of these developments?
Dr. Petrov: Understand that the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East is constantly evolving. As events unfold, it’s essential for international businesses and policymakers to remain informed about these changes. Diversifying partnerships and staying alert to shifts in regional alliances can definitely help mitigate risks associated with instability in the area.Moreover, engaging with local experts and analysts can provide valuable insights that can enhance strategic decision-making.
Time.news Editor: Thank you, Dr. Petrov, for your insightful analysis. As the situation continues to develop, we will keep a close eye on the geopolitical shifts in Syria and their broader implications for global politics.