After the retirement of MK Idit Silman: A special poll conducted last night for Maariv by Menachem Lazar – director of the Politics Panels, shows that if elections to the 25th Knesset had taken place today, the political system would have reached a dead end again, despite a significant strengthening of the Likud.
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Following the retirement of MK Silman, Bennett’s coalition in the current Knesset has 60 MKs, Gush Bibi has 54 MKs, and the joint list has 6 MKs.
In the poll – the creators turn around: Gush Bibi climbs to 60 MKs, while the current coalition drops to 54 MKs, and the joint is left with 6 MKs.
And these are the results of the seats: The Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, is increasing its power and winning the poll to 37 seats, compared to 30 in the last election. Religious Zionism is also increasing its power from 6 seats today to 9 in the poll.
Shas loses two seats and gets 7 in the poll, while Torah Judaism retains its power with 7 seats.
In the opposing bloc, there is a future led by Yair Lapid, which is rising by one seat compared to the current Knesset and receiving 18 seats in the poll. On the other hand, the blue and white led by Bnei Gantz drops from 8 to 7 seats, the right led by Bennett loses two seats and receives only 5 in the poll, just like Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman with 5 seats, which also loses 2 seats.
Labor led by Merav Michaeli drops from 7 to 6 seats in the poll, Meretz led by Nitzan Horowitz drops from 6 to 5, New Hope led by Gideon Saar drops from 6 to 4, while the joint list, 6 seats, and RAAM, Led by Mansour Abbas with 4 seats, retaining their power.
However, Netanyahu and the Likud have reason for cautious optimism, since according to the survey, new hope is on the verge of a blocking percentage – it gets 4 seats thanks to only 3.4%. If Saar does not pass the blocking percentage, the Netanyahu bloc will have 61 seats.
The survey also shows that 42% of the public prefer new elections compared to 39% who prefer the formation of a new government in the current Knesset.
Among Netanyahu’s voters, the preference is much clearer: 63% prefer new elections compared to 27% who support the formation of a new government without elections.
The survey was attended by 506 members of the Panel4All Respondents Panel to conduct online research. The survey was conducted on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, Jews and Arabs alike. The maximum sampling error in this survey is 4.3%.