LOS ANGELES, June 19, 2025
“No Kings” Protests: A Historic turnout?
The recent “No Kings” protests may have been some of the largest single-day demonstrations in U.S. history, sparking debate over their impact.
- Estimates suggest the “No Kings” protests,held on June 14,2025,drew between 4 and 6 million participants.
- This potential turnout could exceed the record set by the 2017 Women’s March.
- The protests coincided with Donald Trump‘s birthday and a military parade.
Were the “No Kings” protests among the largest ever in the United States? A recent estimate suggests that the demonstrations held on June 14, 2025, may have drawn a crowd of between 4 and 6 million people. This turnout could place the “No Kings” protests in the upper echelon of single-day events in American history.
Data journalist G.Elliott Morris, who runs the substack Strength in Numbers, calculated the turnout between 4 million and 6 million, which would be 1.2-1.8% of the U.S. population. This could surpass the 2017 Women’s March, which drew between 3.3 million and 5.6 million participants.
To estimate nationwide numbers, Morris and his team gathered data from various locations, using tallies from local newspapers where available. When those weren’t accessible, they relied on estimates from organizers and attendees. He then approximated the attendance in unreported protests by using the median attendance from locations where data existed. Morris emphasized that his count remains unofficial.
Ezra Levin, the co-founder of Indivisible, the progressive non-profit that organized the event, estimated 5 million people globally took to the streets.
Not everyone agrees on the scale. Jeremy Pressman of the Crowd Counting Consortium told USA Today that an official tally would take time. Steven Cheung, Trump’s director of communications, called the protests “a complete and utter failure with miniscule attendance.” The protests occurred on Donald Trump’s birthday, which coincided with a military parade.
Omar Wasow, an assistant professor at UC Berkeley, stated the demonstration was “without question, among the largest single-day protests in history.”
Historical Context and Protest Dynamics
Wasow likened protest movements to a standing ovation in a theater. “We see a cascade effect: if one person stands after the curtain drops, then more follow,” he said.”If 1.8% of the US adult population showed up to protest on Saturday, those are the people who stood up to clap first. It sends a signal to all these other people that you can stand up, too.”
The 1963 March on Washington, where Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. delivered his “I have a dream” speech,drew up to half a million people.The first Earth Day protests in 1970, saw 20 million participants, sparking the Environmental Protection Act. “At the time this was about 10% of the US population, possibly the largest we will ever realistically see – unless the political environment deteriorates significantly, prompting more backlash,” Morris said.
The Hands Across America fundraiser in 1986 involved an estimated 5 million people forming a human chain to fight hunger and homelessness. More than a million people participated in the 2006 “A Day Without Immigrants” boycott against stricter immigration laws. Protests against the murder of George Floyd in the summer of 2020 saw between 15 and 26 million participants during June, though daily numbers varied.
Gloria J Browne-Marshall, a professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, noted the difficulty in comparing crowd sizes across various protests, notably those spanning multiple days and locations. “Ther are different processes that have been used over the years, from eyeballing things to actually counting the number of people per square mile,” she said.
The 3.5% Rule and Future demonstrations
The “No Kings” protests spurred discussion around the 3.5% rule, a concept put forth by political scientists Erica Chenoweth and Maria Stephan. Their study of 323 revolutionary campaigns from 1900 to 2006 found that nonviolent movements with at least 3.5% support often succeed in triggering change. The massive turnout at No Kings could be seen as a notable turning point.
Though, Morris noted caveats to this rule, originally published in their 2011 book, “Why Civil Resistance Works.” “The 3.5% rule is descriptive, not prescriptive – and has been revised significantly as being originally published to allow for exceptions,” Morris wrote. “Chenoweth now is clear that hitting 3.5% does not guarantee success,especially in political regimes where change is harder,and that movements can accomplish their goals with much smaller mobilization,through things like media coverage and alliances with elites.”
Organizers and attendees are planning another round of protests on July 17, the fifth anniversary of the death of John Lewis, the civil rights leader and congressman.
Ezra Levin acknowledged the limitations of protests. “We’re not going to win if a lot of people show up at a protest one day,” he said.”We need people actually taking democracy seriously, and that’s not going to be done through a top-down action. It has to be done from the bottom-up.When pro-democracy movements succeed, it’s because of a broad-based, ideological, diverse, geographically-dispersed, grassroots organizing – not just mobilizing.”
This article was amended on 19 June 2025 to clarify that G Elliott Morris used the median, not the medium, to approximate nationwide protest numbers.
And 26 million participants during June, though daily numbers varied.
Gloria J Browne-Marshall, a professor at John Jay College of Criminal justice, noted the difficulty in comparing crowd sizes across various protests, notably those spanning multiple days and locations. “Ther are different processes that have been used over the years, from eyeballing things to actually counting the number of peopel per square mile,” she said.
The 3.5% Rule and Future demonstrations
The “No Kings” protests spurred discussion around the 3.5% rule, a concept put forth by political scientists Erica Chenoweth and maria Stephan. Their study of 323 revolutionary campaigns from 1900 to 2006 found that nonviolent movements with at least 3.5% support often succeed in triggering change.The massive turnout at No Kings could be seen as a notable turning point.
though, Morris noted caveats to this rule, originally published in their 2011 book, “why Civil Resistance Works.” “The 3.5% rule is descriptive, not prescriptive – and has been revised considerably as being originally published to allow for exceptions,” Morris wrote. “Chenoweth now is clear that hitting 3.5% does not guarantee success,especially in political regimes where change is harder,and that movements can accomplish their goals with much smaller mobilization,through things like media coverage and alliances with elites.”
Organizers and attendees are planning another round of protests on July 17, the fifth anniversary of the death of john Lewis, the civil rights leader and congressman.
Ezra Levin acknowledged the limitations of protests. “We’re not going to win if a lot of people show up at a protest one day,” he said.”We need people actually taking democracy seriously, and that’s not going to be done through a top-down action. It has to be done from the bottom-up.When pro-democracy movements succeed, it’s because of a broad-based, ideological, diverse, geographically-dispersed, grassroots organizing – not just mobilizing.”
This article was amended on 19 June 2025 to clarify that G Elliott Morris used the median, not the medium, to approximate nationwide protest numbers.
Beyond the headlines: The Lasting Impact of protest
While the raw numbers of the “No Kings” protests are staggering, their long-term impact remains to be seen. History suggests that protest movements can have a profound effect on society. These movements influence public opinion and policy changes.
However, converting turnout into tangible outcomes is complex.To understand the true impact, it helps consider:
- Policy Shifts: Did this protest lead to any changes in laws or regulations?
- Public Discourse: How did this protest reshape public debate and dialogues?
- Grassroots Organizing: Did the events inspire ongoing activism?
Examining these dimensions provides a more complete understanding of the protests’ meaning.
Protest Movements and Long-Term Outcomes
Protests like the “No Kings” demonstrations play a crucial role in shaping societies by bringing public awareness to certain issues. But how do these demonstrations translate into lasting change? Here’s a look into the different ways protests influence outcomes, using examples from history, which demonstrates how demonstrations turn into action through several pathways:
1. Shaping Public Opinion
Protest movements can significantly influence how the public views specific issues. Such demonstrations typically raise awareness about topics, frequently enough challenging prevailing narratives and sparking dialogues. Prosperous movements sway public opinion,eventually creating an environment for changes in policy and social values.
Such as, consider the environmental movement.The first Earth Day demonstrations,in 1970,brought environmental concerns into the public eye and fostered a culture that was,in turn,welcoming to environmental protection legislation. The public’s growing concerns were the backbone behind subsequent legislation, and have shaped public policies.
2. Promoting legislative Change
protests can directly affect law changes. Demonstrations can get the attention of lawmakers, creating pressure for action.The Civil Rights Movement offers a clear exmaple. Protests, marches, and acts of civil disobedience exerted direct impact on Congress, leading to landmark legislation like the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965.
3. Fostering Civic Engagement
Protests often encourage people to get involved in politics. Onc people participate in a movement, they’re more likely to keep expressing those values. This includes registering voters, supporting specific candidates, and joining community groups. This increased participation fuels a deeper and more representative democratic system.
The Women’s Suffrage movement is a strong case study. It was fueled by protests, parades, and persistent activism, directly led to the 19th Amendment, which gave a wider range of American women the right to vote, in 1920. This expansion of democracy was supported by earlier protest efforts.
4. Influencing social Norms
Protests also shape social norms by challenging accepted practices. Movements like the LGBTQ+ rights movement transformed public acceptance of same-sex relationships and gender identity. Demonstrations that defy existing societal norms, are a powerful catalyst for social improvement as they shift general public attitudes. Over time, those efforts help normalize and spread inclusive behaviors.
5.Building Alliances and Coalitions
Protest success includes forming larger alliances and coalitions. By joining together diverse groups around common principles, movements grow more powerful and promote a broader base of support. This can include unlikely groups, creating more social and political influence.
“The No Kings” protests can be seen as a turning point with increased mobilization, as stated earlier in the article.These demonstrations may show a rise in political discussions,with a focus on democratic systems.
Practical Tips for Maximizing Impact
Here are some strategies for organizers, for maximizing the lasting effects of protest events:
- Define Clear Goals: Identify the specific outcomes the movement wants to achieve.This precision makes monitoring and assessing the protest’s progress easier.
- Build Broad Coalitions: Bring in diverse groups and supporters to build strength and influence.
- Develop Strategic Communication: Deliver clear and consistent messages to maximize audience engagement.
- Focus on Follow-Up: Don’t let the efforts stop when the demonstrations finish. Stay organized with legislative action, educational events, and community work.
- Use Media Effectively: Use media and social media platforms to spread stories, promote causes, and hold leaders accountable.
Case Study: The Hong Kong protests (2019-2020)
The protests in Hong Kong offer a case study in both impact and challenges. Hundreds of thousands of people demonstrated against a proposed extradition bill. The bill was eventually withdrawn, but the protests also led to a broader movement for democratic freedoms: Although the movement itself met with some restrictions, it showed how a mass movement could successfully halt certain policies by promoting community and the defense of long-held values. the courage of protesters and strategies implemented by both sides shows complex relationships in protest actions.
Are Protests Always Effective? Myths vs. facts
There is confusion surrounding the actual effectiveness of protests. The following is a quick overview:
| Myth | Fact |
|---|---|
| Protests are only about causing disruption and making a scene. | Protests are vital in raising awareness,shaping public opinion,and spurring action. |
| Large crowd sizes always lead to success. | The overall impact is steadfast by effective messaging, planning, and sustainability efforts. |
| Protests never bring about real change. | Protests have played a major role in several past social and political transformations. |
| Protests are always violent. | the bulk of social movements have been peaceful. |
FAQs: Deepening Understanding of the “No Kings” Protests
How can individuals sustain interest after a protest?
Individuals can continue their involvement via grassroots organizing, contacting lawmakers, and donating to the cause.
What role does grassroots organizing play?
Grassroots organizing builds support through education, community events, and long-lasting civic engagement, and sustains the momentum.
Can protests turn too violent?
Yes, violence is one of multiple factors that can affect a protest’s success, frequently enough leading to counterproductive results.
Why do some movements succeed while others fail?
Several factors influence the results of demonstrations, including well-defined goals, sufficient support, and effective interaction with influencers.
Table of Contents
- “No Kings” Protests: A Historic turnout?
- Historical Context and Protest Dynamics
- The 3.5% Rule and Future demonstrations
- The 3.5% Rule and Future demonstrations
- Beyond the headlines: The Lasting Impact of protest
- Protest Movements and Long-Term Outcomes
- Practical Tips for Maximizing Impact
- Case Study: The Hong Kong protests (2019-2020)
- Are Protests Always Effective? Myths vs. facts
- FAQs: Deepening Understanding of the “No Kings” Protests
- How can individuals sustain interest after a protest?
- What role does grassroots organizing play?
- Can protests turn too violent?
- Why do some movements succeed while others fail?
