There are only eight short days left before we know the name of the future President of the Republic. The campaign, since the announcement of the results of the first round, has changed in tone. It is now harder, more intense. And the slightest misstep can be costly. Emmanuel Macron, however, remains the favorite in this presidential election against Marine Le Pen, according to our daily Ipsos Sopra Steria poll for Le Parisien, Radio France and France Télévisions, dated April 16.
Macron continues to lead the game. Since the first round, variations in voting intentions have been quite marginal. The outgoing president is now credited with 55.5% of the votes in the second round against his far-right rival, who for his part is given 44.5% of the votes. The margin of error is 3.3 points, which justifies why the suspense remains real.
A third of Mélenchon voters want to block Le Pen. The reports of votes of the voters of the rebellious candidate will undoubtedly be decisive in this second round of the presidential election. According to the results of our survey, 34% of them say they hope for the victory of Emmanuel Macron to block the candidate of the National Rally. But the majority of voters for the third man in the campaign still do not express their intention to vote before this second round.
The French more and more sure of their choice. 87% of Emmanuel Macron voters and 92% of Marine Le Pen voters say they are sure of their choice. This gain in certainty is observed even among French people who intend to vote blank or null, since 71% of them say that their decision will not change.