Dr. Jesada Denduangbriphan or “Aj. Jet” Lecturer at Department of Biology Faculty of Science Chulalongkorn University Post messages via facebook Oh, it’s like this by Ajarn Jet situation update “COVID” indicate that “Update the covid situation – it’s a downtrend already” Songkran Day has passed So I would like to update the situation of the epidemic of coviral-19 during the outbreak of the species “Omicron” Omicron Since the beginning of this year again, the good news is that the coronavirus outbreak is “leg down” It’s clear
“Aj. Jet” It said that when looking at the graph of the daily number of new infections (left, blue line), it is the past seven-day average of the sum between the number of infections. Tested by PCR and ATK, it was seen that after a few outbreaks of Delta species after New Year’s celebrations. was an outbreak of Omicron that has skyrocketed since the beginning of February It reaches its peak in early March and then decreases before peaking again at the end of March. (expected to be the result of a double outbreak of Omicron Subspecies BA.2 replaced the original subspecies BA.1) and peaked again in early April.
Then the epidemic continued to decline. Until today, which is mid-April. which should be able to say with a full mouth that We are entering a downtrend in this wave of outbreaks. and it is also consistent with the trend of the outbreak ofOmikronAll over the world that usually come fast and fast in 2 months (only ours have 2 overlapping species. so it slows down a bit)
However, what everyone is concerned about and keeping an eye on is After this Songkran Festival where people travel, travel, visit relatives and organize many activities Will it lead to another wave of COVID outbreaks? (which I expected late April We may see the number of infected people increase. but probably not as high as the beginning again) For other values, it is the daily number of deaths. number of pneumonia patients and intubated patients that is still high As expected, the effect depends on the number of infected people over a period of about 14 days, so we need to be prepared to see these values increase for a while. before starting to decline (but from the graph, now it tends to be somewhat less steep)
P.S. Emphasis on the same The number of officially reported infections Probably less than the actual value about 3 times, but still can tell the trend of the outbreak in the country.
Thank you Teacher Jesada Denduangbriphan