North Texas vs. San Diego State: 2025 New Mexico Bowl Prediction & Odds

by Liam O'Connor Sports Editor

Albuquerque, N.M. – North Texas is a heavy favorite as they prepare to face San Diego State in the 2025 New Mexico Bowl on Saturday, but don’t expect a straightforward victory. The Mean Green (11-2) are looking to cap off a accomplished season, while the Aztecs (9-3) aim to finish strong after a narrow defeat in their regular season finale.

Bowl Season Showdown: Mean Green vs. Aztecs

Both teams are seeking a winning end to their campaigns in this intriguing bowl matchup.

  • North Texas enters the game as a 6.5-point favorite.
  • San Diego State will be without starting quarterback Jayden Denegal due to a recent shoulder surgery.
  • The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5.
  • SportsLine’s model predicts the total will go over 52.5 points.

Kickoff is scheduled for 5:45 p.m. ET from University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. North Texas, coming off a 34-21 loss to Tulane in the American Conference Championship Game, finished tied for first in the American at 7-1. San Diego State,which concluded its regular season with a 23-17 two-overtime loss at New Mexico on November 28,was part of a four-way tie for the Mountain West title.

What to Expect from Each Team

The Mean Green have won six of their last seven games, showcasing a resilient offense led by quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who is playing in this game before deciding on his future plans. However, North Texas is navigating a coaching change, having lost head coach Eric Morris to Oklahoma State. San Diego State, despite a 2-2 record in their last four games, presents a tough challenge, especially with a strong running game.

North Texas vs. San Diego State Odds & Lines

North Texas vs. San Diego State Spread North Texas -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
North Texas vs. San Diego State Over/under 52.5 points
North texas vs. San Diego State Money Line North Texas -231, San Diego State +190
north Texas vs. San Diego State Picks See picks at SportsLine
North Texas vs. san diego State Streaming Fubo (Try for free)

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