Switzerland Unemployment Rate 2025: SECO Forecast

by Grace Chen

Switzerland’s unemployment rate currently sits at 2.8 percent, a figure that, while representing a slight increase, aligns with the nation’s long-term average. Around 147,000 people were registered as unemployed at the close of December 2025, and for the first time in recent memory, unemployment insurance is operating at a deficit.

Jérôme Cosandey

State Secretariat for Economic Affairs Seco


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Jérôme Cosandey has been Head of the Labor Directorate since May 2025 State Secretariat for Economic Affairs Seco. He previously served as Director Romand von Avenir Suisse. As head of research, the ETH engineer studied primarily issues such as pension provision, health policy and the intergenerational contract.

What’s your assessment of the current job market?

Jérôme Cosandey explained that the unemployment rate has seen a slight uptick over the past two years. Following the strong economic rebound after the COVID-19 pandemic, unemployment was exceptionally low. “At 2.8 percent, we are now back to the long-term average unemployment rate,” he stated.

Unemployment Figures from the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs Seco

The rate has risen towards the end of the year, and you’re forecasting 3.1 percent unemployment for next year. What’s driving this?

Weak demand in key export markets, particularly China, is impacting the watch industry. The conflict with the United States also plays a role. While a solution has been found regarding threatened tariffs of 39 percent, they remain higher than pre-crisis levels, and uncertainty persists.

The ALV is still very solidly positioned.

Unemployment insurance is now in the red due to higher unemployment. A 300 million franc deficit – how concerned are you?

“That’s not insignificant,” Cosandey acknowledged, “but when compared to our annual expenditure of around eight billion francs or the reserves, which also total around eight billion, the ALV is still very solidly positioned. The ALV is designed to create a buffer for challenging times. It can continue to function across an economic cycle without requiring structural changes – such as increasing wage contributions or reducing benefits, which is not an issue at the moment.”

Unemployment rate by canton (choropleth map)

Are you well-prepared, both financially and organizationally?

“Yes, we introduced a new IT system over the New Year to improve the efficiency of employees at the regional employment centers, known as RAVs. This allows them more time to support those who face greater challenges finding new employment due to their age or qualifications.”

At Seco we work directly for people; our work has an immediate impact and is tangible.

You come from the private sector, from Avenir Suisse, a liberal business think tank. How does working in administration feel after six months?

“In my previous role, I was able to shape the future of Switzerland. That was exciting. But here at Seco, we confront issues that require immediate solutions. We work directly for people, and our work has an immediate and tangible impact.”

How do you experience the exchange with the social partners, employers and unions?

“For example, we work closely with social partners on wage protection and workplace safety. This is a challenging dynamic. Interests and priorities aren’t always aligned, but that’s one of Switzerland’s strengths that I can experience and shape daily: that we talk to each other and seek solutions together. It sometimes takes time, but once we reach a consensus, it works.”

The interview was conducted by Klaus Bonanomi.

Rising Unemployment in Many Sectors


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Unemployment has increased in almost all sectors. Retail has been hardest hit, with 19,400 unemployed at the end of 2025—17 percent more than a year ago. The hospitality industry, with 11,300 employees (+8 percent), is also severely affected, as is construction (13,600 unemployed, a slight decrease of 0.5 percent).

Around 2,000 people are unemployed in the watchmaking, mechanical engineering, and chemical industries, representing a 10 to 25 percent increase. The research and development sector saw the largest increase in unemployment: 32 percent within a year, totaling 1,400 unemployed researchers.

The regional distribution of unemployment remains consistent: a clear west-east divide, with Jura (5.3 percent unemployment rate), Geneva (5 percent), Vaud, Neuchâtel, and Basel-Stadt all exceeding 4 percent. Appenzell Innerrhoden has the lowest rate, at 0.9 percent.

Of the 147,000 unemployed people at the end of the year, 88,000 had been unemployed for six months or less, and 38,500 for seven to twelve months. 20,500 people are considered long-term unemployed, having been without a job for over a year.

Overall, the number of unemployed rose by 13 percent to 147,200 from December 2024 to December 2025, and the unemployment rate rose from 2.8 percent to 3.1 percent.

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