Elon Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire, with a 75% probability of reaching that milestone before 2027, according to a prediction market. The surge in potential wealth is largely tied to his ownership stakes in Tesla and SpaceX, and was further fueled by recent speculation surrounding a potential merger between SpaceX and xAI, his artificial intelligence company.
As of Sunday, Musk stated his $849.3 billion fortune is “overwhelmingly” linked to his holdings in Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX. He clarified that less than 0.1% of his net worth is held in cash, emphasizing that employees at both companies benefit from stock and option grants. Tesla, he added, is more than 80% owned by retail investors and index/pension funds.
The prediction of Musk reaching trillionaire status comes from Kalshi, a platform where users can bet on the outcome of future events. Currently, traders are assigning a 78% probability to Musk surpassing the $1 trillion mark before January 1, 2027, according to Benzinga.
SpaceX and xAI: A Combined Valuation
Speculation about Musk’s growing wealth intensified following the recent valuation of the combined SpaceX and xAI entity at approximately $1.25 trillion. Musk is estimated to own roughly 43% of this latest entity, representing a stake valued at over $530 billion. This development underscores the increasing convergence of Musk’s ventures in space exploration and artificial intelligence.
The potential synergy between SpaceX and xAI is significant. SpaceX’s ambitious plans to establish datacenters in space for complex AI computing could directly benefit xAI’s development efforts. The article notes Musk has discussed using SpaceX’s Starship rockets to transport Tesla’s Optimus robots to the moon and eventually Mars, highlighting the interconnectedness of his companies.
Tesla’s Performance and Investor Base
Tesla’s recent financial performance also contributes to Musk’s rising net worth. Last month, the electric vehicle manufacturer reported quarterly earnings of 50 cents per share, exceeding analyst expectations by 12.36%. Revenue for the quarter reached $24.9 billion, surpassing the estimated $24.78 billion.
Musk highlighted the broad ownership base of Tesla, stating that over 80% of the company is owned by retail investors and index/pension funds. This widespread ownership suggests a significant level of public confidence in Tesla’s long-term prospects. Here’s a look at Tesla’s stock gains over the years:
| Time Period | Percentage Change |
|---|---|
| Past Month | -4.82% |
| Past 6 Months | +26.28% |
| Past Year | +17.88% |
| Past 5 Years | +60.29% |
| All Time | +32,512.50% |
Musk’s Broader Financial Picture
According to Forbes’ real-time billionaires list, as of February 20, 2026, Elon Musk leads the rankings with a net worth of $849.3 billion. He is followed by Larry Page ($251 billion), Sergey Brin ($231.7 billion), and Mark Zuckerberg ($219.4 billion). Forbes’ real-time tracker provides a constantly updated view of the world’s wealthiest individuals.
Musk’s comments on his wealth came in response to a post on X (formerly Twitter) regarding his contribution to wealth creation. He asserted that he has already created wealth for others “thousands of times over.” This statement reflects his belief that the success of his companies has generated significant economic benefits beyond his personal fortune.
Looking Ahead
The possibility of a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) has also been discussed, potentially further increasing Musk’s net worth. According to a report from Reuters, SpaceX is examining the feasibility of an IPO, which could value the company at $1.5 trillion. The timing of such an IPO may be linked to a planetary alignment and Musk’s birthday in late June. The next major event to watch will be any official announcement from SpaceX regarding its IPO plans.
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