The main Colombian pollsters agree on one thing: Gustavo Petroof the leftist Historical Pact, will go to the second round in the presidential elections on Sunday 29.
However, what is not clear is who will accompany Petro to that second round that will take place on Sunday, June 19.
The right-wing candidate, supported by the government, Federico “Fico” Gutierrezfrom the Equipo por Colombia coalition, stagnated in the intention to vote and today it is not entirely certain that it will go to the second round as expected a month ago.
In that period of time, the businessman and former mayor of Bucaramanga, Rodolfo Hernandez (League of Anticorruption Governors), also on the right, had strong growth that puts it close to giving one of the surprises of this election.
In the elections on Sunday 29, there are six candidates to govern the country. The winner will be the one who obtains half plus one of the total votes. If this does not happen, there will be a second between the two candidates with the highest number of votes.
Saturday the 21st was the last day that the pollsters could publish their surveys. Reports show that of the six presidential formulas, only three have a chance of going to a second round.
The public opinion polls were also key when two candidates dropped out of the competition when the ballots that the almost 40 million Colombians who will vote on Sunday were already printed. Luis Pérez from Colombia Piensa en Grande, a centrist party, and Ingrid Bentancourt from the centrist party, Verde Oxígeno, did not exceed 1% of voting intentions in several surveys.
the latest numbers
The polls coincide in showing Gustavo Petro as the favorite to go to the second round. The senator and former mayor of Bogotá, has a 45% intention to vote, according to the latest survey of the Latin American Strategic Center for Geopolitics (Celag) Posted Friday the 29th.
According to this work, the businessman Rodolfo Hernández has 20.4% and the former mayor of Medellín, Federico Gutiérrez, has 20.1%. Further back appears Sergio Fajardo, from the Centro Esperanza Coalition, with 4.9%. The other candidates (John Milton Rodríguez and Enrique Gómez Martínez) add up to 1.3%.
This survey shows that since April, Hernández began to grow, while Gutiérrez and Fajardo began to fall.
The latest report of National Consulting Center (CNC) of May 19, shows Petro first with 35.8%, followed by Gutiérrez with 20.8% and Hernández with 19.1%. Fajardo, meanwhile, receives 4% of the votes. Compared to the previous measurement, there was a slight drop in Petro, which had 38% on April 22, and Gutiérrez, who had 23.8%. The big jump is given by Hernández, who a month ago had 9.6% of the votes, according to the CNC.
The company Invamer, gives Petro a 40.6% voting intention. Further back is Gutiérrez with 27.1%. Hernández is third with 20.9% and Fajardo receives 5.1%.
The company YanHaas conducted several surveys commissioned by a group of Colombian media. The last one was published on May 10. On that date, Petro appeared with 40% of the votes, followed by Gutiérrez with 21% and Hernández with 12%. In fourth place was Fajardo with 7%.
The monthly surveys of this company since February show a sustained growth of Petro. Gutiérrez and Hernández grew slightly.
From the Regional News Agency.