On the night between Wednesday and Thursday, February 24, or, if you like, on the 23rd of Adar I, Russian President Putin delivered a recorded speech to the Russian nation. He nevertheless decided to invade the territory of Ukraine.
One thing is undisputed – Putin fails to realize the original purpose for which he invaded Ukraine. Prove the simple fact that Putin withdrew from the Kyiv region and northern Ukraine without any consideration, and without achieving there significant achievements other than major damage and unnecessary killing.
One thing can be argued, since not all the real data really exists. The million-dollar question – will Putin pay a price for this invasion, and will the price come in the form of being ousted from the Kremlin.
the past
So first let’s get ahead and say – Putin has had a lot of power in Russia for the last 20 years and he probably still has a lot of power in his hands.
Putin as a KGB officer
Putin, who is close to 70, has been through a lot in his life, and despite estimates that his personal fortune is now estimated at billions, Putin has not had an easy childhood. In a book published by Putin himself about him, he told of his difficult childhood and his big dream – to become a KGB agent. Of the powerful Soviet Union. Even as a teenager he went to the KGB offices. Near his home and asked to enlist in the ranks of the controversial organization. The organization called on him to return when he finished his studies, and indeed immediately after graduating from law school, he enlisted in the KGB.
One of the significant events in Russia’s history is the collapse of the Communist Soviet Union, an event that Putin has repeatedly described as a “tragedy for the Russian people.”
After the fall of the Iron Curtain Boris Yeltsin came to power, for the first time thanks to the votes of voters in Russia. In the West, Russia seemed to be moving in the direction of democracy.
Let’s jump a little forward, the year 1999, the KGB man. Vladimir Putin comes to power. From the time he came to power until today, Putin has restored Russia to its former glory, making it as centralized as possible in its own hands. True, the Iron Curtain has not gone down again – but recently restrictions have been growing.
The present
If we delineate only the last few months in Russia we can see how Putin is taking on more and more powers. Opponents of the regime have been imprisoned and problematic legislation has been enacted such as the Pike News Act, according to which anyone who calls the war in Ukraine a war or an invasion and not a ‘special operation’ – could carry a heavy prison sentence.
At the same time, it seems in recent times that Putin is taking on many powers, along with what he has done in the past, such as allowing himself to run again in the next 20 years, in violation of Russia’s election laws.
(Photo: Shatterstock)
In the past, Putin tried to look like a Democrat when he resigned as president and moved to become prime minister so as not to change the law in Russia. True, Putin was actually president, but he did not have the audacity to demand to remain on the presidency.
True, the fact that he chose to remain in the presidency today does not really change on the ground the fact that Putin is the undisputed ruler of Russia. However, Putin is showing a very worrying trend here.
Future
There are many rumors about Putin about his health, and on the basis of them theories are built about Putin’s desire to leave a mark on the world and therefore carried out the invasion.
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Either way, the invasion did not work so well for Russia, and now Putin is trying to get off the tree quietly in the form of occupying territories in eastern Ukraine – this is in contrast to the desire to overthrow the regime in Kiev and form a puppet government.
It is difficult to know what days they will say and whether Putin has indeed weakened – but it is clear that Putin has now been exposed to a weakness in the war in Ukraine. This fact leaves us with two possibilities that are exactly two opposites.
The first possibility: in Russia they will recognize and smell the weakness, and the fall of Putin, even by some of the Kremlin – and a coup will be carried out in Russia.
Option two: Putin understands that he smells of weakness, so he will further narrow the ranks, make Russia less democratic and more dictatorial.
time will tell.