President Donald Trump maintains the support of a clear majority of the people who voted for him in 2024, but a significant rift is opening within his coalition. New data reveals that Trump approval falls sharply among his 2024 Latino voters, with this group showing a much more pronounced decline in support than his non-Hispanic backers.
According to a recent analysis by the Pew Research Center, 66% of Latino Trump voters now approve of the president’s job performance. While this remains a majority, it represents a steep 27-percentage-point drop since the beginning of his second term.
The decline is not limited to one demographic, as approval ratings have dipped across the board. However, the speed of the erosion among Hispanic supporters stands in stark contrast to the trend among other Trump voters. Among non-Hispanic supporters, approval has fallen by 16 percentage points, settling at 79%.
This widening gap suggests a shifting dynamic within a segment of the electorate that has become increasingly central to the Republican strategy over the last decade.
A volatile shift in the Hispanic voter coalition
The current volatility is particularly notable given the steady climb of Trump’s support among Latinos leading up to the 2024 election. For years, the Republican platform saw a gradual but consistent increase in appeal within this community, moving from 28% of Latino voters in 2016 to 36% in 2020.
By the 2024 election, that figure jumped to 48%, marking a historic high for the GOP’s standing with Hispanic voters. This growth transformed the Latino electorate into a pivotal pillar of the Trump coalition, reflecting a broader trend of political realignment among Hispanic adults.
However, the April 2026 survey indicates that this newfound alignment may be more fragile than the 2024 results suggested. The gap between how Hispanic and non-Hispanic Trump voters view the president’s performance has widened significantly since February 2025, signaling a divergence in how different parts of the base are experiencing the administration’s policies.
The scale of the electoral impact
The stakes of this approval dip are tied to the sheer size of the demographic. Driven by rapid population growth, Latinos have become the second-largest racial and ethnic group of eligible voters in the United States. By 2024, approximately 36 million Latino adults were U.S. Citizens eligible to cast a ballot, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Because this group is not a monolith, the sharp drop in approval among those who specifically voted for Trump in 2024 suggests that even “converted” voters are beginning to express dissatisfaction. The data highlights a growing tension between the president’s electoral successes with this group and his current standing in office.
The following table tracks the decline in approval ratings among Trump’s 2024 supporters over the course of his second term:
| Survey Date | Hispanic Trump Voters Approval | Non-Hispanic Trump Voters Approval |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 93% | 95% |
| June 8, 2025 | 83% | 89% |
| Sept 28, 2025 | 81% | 88% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 75% | 84% |
| April 26, 2026 | 66% | 79% |
Understanding the research methodology
The findings are based on a comprehensive survey of 5,103 U.S. Adults conducted between April 20 and April 26, 2026. The sample included 778 Hispanic adults, all of whom are members of the Pew Research Center’s American Trends Panel.
To ensure accuracy, the researchers focused on “validated voters”—adult citizens with a documented voting record based on official state election results. Participants were asked to confirm who they voted for in the 2024 election shortly after the polls closed, allowing the Center to track the specific sentiment of those who actually contributed to the president’s victory.
While the general public’s approval of the president has also declined, the most aggressive slide remains centered within the Hispanic wing of his base. This suggests that the factors driving the 2024 surge in Latino support may be clashing with the realities of the administration’s governance.
As the administration moves forward, political analysts will be watching to see if this trend stabilizes or continues to slide toward a minority approval rating. The next major benchmark for the administration’s standing will be the upcoming mid-term performance indicators and official policy reviews scheduled for later this year.
Do you think these shifts reflect a temporary reaction to specific policies or a longer-term realignment? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
