Kochi ∙ ‘A majority of two thousand votes, plus one, will be four thousand. Even if the LDF wins, it is still the same ‘- this is how many experts assessed the end of the LDF’s campaign frenzy. Where will the LDF be when the majority reaches 25,016 after crossing the two thousand four thousand mark and holding 14329 PTs? The candidate has initially announced that he will look into it. The CPM state secretariat also informed about this in the afternoon. The announcements of the rest will come soon. In effect, the Left candidate may be holding back from saying that the vote share has not decreased compared to the last time. However, there is an increase of 2244 votes. Do not ask if this is what the preparations are for.
If it was Arun …
The media is to blame for the announcement that Arun Kumar will contest in Thrikkakara. CPM Thadiyuri said that he had seen the news of the graffiti. However, some CPM members wished that Arun Kumar, who had been preparing for Thrikkakara for the last six months, would be the candidate. Not to win, but to benefit the party even if it loses. The party would have reaped the benefits of so much campaigning in another election. There was not a single Malayalee who did not know Arun. Some argue that Arun Kumar would be a trump card that could be used boldly in the event of another assembly election.
–>
A large section of the party is questioning what is the benefit to the party with a losing candidate. In the last assembly elections, P.T. The Independent, who found the party against Thomas, blames him for not even coming to a campaign in this election. Dr. Joe Joseph did not contest on the free symbol but was completely independent without party control. He will return to work tomorrow. All the public activities mentioned earlier will lie like a cow in a haystack. Therefore, these activists are of the view that the party should change its stand to stop testing such independents. A section raises the need to examine matters including the circumstances under which this candidate came.
CPM secured votes in Congress box?
The CPM’s confirmed votes are usually higher than the figures given by local party workers and booth agents. By the time the vote is over, the party will have received the exact figure. The conclusion of those votes will be 99 percent certain. That’s it. But there are indications that the party has been miscalculating for some time. The confirmed votes were not so sure. The party leadership was adamant that the Doctor would win by a margin of 4,000 votes.
–>
An old assessment is that when the turnout is low, the Left gains and the UDF loses. If at least 75% of the people vote, it will confirm that they are CPM members. These votes are exactly numbered. The activists themselves will confirm that they all voted. There are freezing strategies on how to avoid voting for those who are sure they will not get the vote. In Thrikkakara, the turnout was lower than last year, which was expected to be a positive wave for the CPM. Because all the voters confirmed by the party have come and voted. But the vote did not go where the party said it would.
There is no such system for the UDF. There will be some UDF supporters in the crowd. The party is expected to receive it. Tests beyond what is no longer received are irrelevant. It is alleged that the new generation of activists is not able to maintain the accuracy of the LDF in these matters.
The Left Front will also admit that the wave was in favor of Uma Thomas when the election campaign began. In the meantime, the general assessment is that the tide has turned when the Chief Minister and other ministers have come out with propaganda and the general perception has grown that the dissemination of pornographic videos is not in line with civilized society. The fact that the reactionary left the party and raised developmental arguments like Kerry’s gave hope that the candidate would gain. In fact, the party has yet to find out why none of this was reflected in the election.
–>
Has the campaign increased a bit?
This is a question that the parties have been asking each other since before the election results came out. Whether there was a need for such a tumultuous campaign in Thrikkakara. It is doubtful whether people from the Chief Minister onwards came and asked for votes and ‘disgusted’ them since the election was announced. It has been a month since all the privacy of the voters in the urban Thrikkakara constituency was lost. There were 60 MLAs and 14 ministers in the constituency almost full time. When the group turns up and goes into the house every day, at first there is a curiosity, but then it disappears and they must have realized that it is the love of cheating for votes. There are those who say that if they come every day and ask for votes without even agreeing to sleep at home, the voter will think that they are being stabbed.
The vote may have been skewed in the face of the question of the opponents as to what is special about the Thrikkakara elections to freeze the government system and hold the polls. The Chief Minister has visited here more than three times in the last one month. Attended election conventions, local meetings and public meetings. It is alleged that the ambassador provided the information to the complainant. It is natural for a common sense citizen to object to this scandal of spending tax money when there is no money to pay the officials. Opposition parties have stated they will not run in the by-elections, but will use force to protest.
–>
KV Thomas effect
It is natural for those who have been in the party for years to be upset when someone who has worked against the Communist Party for a lifetime and defeated the party members enters the party arena. No matter what the excuse, a section of the leaders themselves may not be able to accept the expulsion of those who have lived and worked for the party day and night. In the case of the general team this will lead to a much stronger opposition.
Those who have recently joined the party have been accorded high honors. For years, listening to what the party had to say, putting up posters, beating the enemy and imprisoning him was all in vain. There is a strong need among the sympathizers to study this and take a stand. KV It is argued that the arrival of someone like Thomas has created strong confusion among the ranks.
–>
The danger of awakening the UDF
A section assesses that if the Left Front had not created so much commotion, the UDF would not have come forward with such a campaign in Thrikkakara and could have been defeated. The party failed to capitalize on the Congress’ routine squabbles and laziness. This time too, those who were looking for the seat with the certainty that Uma would be the candidate at the stage of deciding the candidates were seen coming with a bang. But the support Uma received after the candidature and the Left Front’s campaign enthusiasm kept the Congress together.
The Congress candidate has benefited from seeing ordinary UDF activists campaigning on the streets even on the eve of the culmination.
–>
Not a wave of sympathy; Repentance
After the announcement of the results, M Swaraj and others have raised the issue of sympathy behind Uma’s victory. This is despite allegations that such a pre-election campaign against Uma was a setback for the party. There is an assessment that the vote of sympathy of the people of Thrikkakara who did not recognize PT may have been more than a wave of sympathy for Uma. The statement that Thrikkakara got the good fortune to correct the mistake of PT must also have hurt the minds of the voters.
Content Highlight: Thrikkakara Byelection, CPM Votes, UDF Votes, Uma Thomas, Dr Jo Joseph, LDF Votes