Macron’s poor performance does not worry Ukraine (too much)

by time news

Ukraine was still under the “charm” of Emmanuel Macron’s visit to kyiv on June 16. Like the daily Siohodni (Segodnia), owned by oligarch Rinat Akhmetov, who, for example, dwelt at length on presidential tweets favorable to Ukraine. Also the result of the legislative elections of June 19 was followed closely. If the news agency UKrinform announces that “the presidential coalition wins”, Oukraïnska Pravda delivers a more nuanced analysis and titles: “Macron loses the absolute majority in the National Assembly in the second round of legislative elections.”

The online daily fears that the “resurgence of the ultra-right and the alliance of parties of the left only complicate the task of Emmanuel Macron in his desire to implement his agenda in domestic politics during his second term”. And continues: “The fate of Macron’s second term will depend on the Republicans: will they manage to come to an agreement with him (and under what conditions)?”

A tumultuous second term

Even weakened, esteem meanwhile Mirror Tyjnia, “Together will remain the largest party in the Assembly”. Most “the result is a blow, devastating for the French president”.

“Macron’s group is only slightly ahead of the radical left-wing alliance of 70-year-old former Trotskyist Jean-Luc Mélenchon.”

“Before embarking last week on a tour of Eastern Europe, notably in Ukraine, Macron had called on voters to grant him a ‘firm majority’ to ensure stability in this troubled time”, comments the weekly, which predicts:

“Because of the protest against the ‘yellow vests’, the Covid, the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and the resulting surge in inflation, the 44-year-old president had a stormy first term. The second is likely to be even more tumultuous.”

A pro-Russian opposition, a bad sign?

After this “Macron’s Pyrrhic victory”, write again Oukraïnska Pravda, Kyiv should be aware that “in the opposition will find politicians [français] anti-Western and openly pro-Russian”, which, the day after this “revenge of Mélenchon after the presidential election”, will work to “limit the possibilities of action of the president”.

“It is true that if there is a change in French policy, it will not concern the foreign sphere, which is the most important thing for Ukraine. Traditionally, this sphere is the prerogative of the president, over which the government does not directly influence.”

However, we must ask ourselves “a key question: how will the need to constantly push back the initiatives of the ultra-left and an openly pro-Russian opposition exert an influence on the new French government? Will the government be forced to make concessions, or, on the contrary, will its pro-Western orientation be strengthened, further removing the possibility of a compromise with the Russian Federation?”

“The latter scenario is the most desirable for Ukraine. And despite all Macron’s problems, it’s also the most likely,” reassures the daily online.

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