Thairath Online
11 Aug. 2022 12:06
Mo Yong predicts that in three years most people will be infected with COVID-19. no different from past epidemics Can’t escape the rules of nature
On August 11, 2022, Prof. Dr. Yong Phuworawan, head of the Center specializes in clinical virology. Department of Pediatrics Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Facebook posts about COVID-19, we can’t escape the rules of nature.
In the past, there have been many deadly outbreaks. Whether it is smallpox, plague, and medical knowledge is not as modern as it is today. We were able to get past each other until today. The epidemic won’t last as long as COVID-19 is today.
according to the rules of evolution Rabbits used to damage agricultural crops. Humans therefore use a virus that causes severe disease in rabbits to death. and a plague on the rabbits As a result, many rabbits died. But there will be a number that are resistant to this virus. and remain for later reproduction increase the same amount
Looking back on past outbreaks Most outbreaks last a single year and are very contagious, such as cholera in the reign of King Rama II or the Spanish flu during the reign of King Rama VI. The epidemic lasts only one year and turns into a seasonal disease. But there are quite a lot of losses. especially vulnerable groups, about 1 percent of the population
We estimate that almost every 3 year influenza will be once, and at 9 years on average it will have all three influenza A (H1N1, H3N2) and B, so in children under 9, if not. Have you ever had influenza vaccination before? The first dose of life must be given twice, 1 month apart, but anyone over 9 years of age is considered likely to have contracted the flu. The vaccination will be a single booster for COVID-19, probably the same if it takes three years.
At present, our medicine is better. The epidemic, we have been fighting it all along. lengthening the duration of the outbreak And in the end, most of the population would probably have had the disease. Like influenza, a viral disease, mostly in children, the symptoms are mild. Symptoms are more severe in vulnerable groups.
We have extended the epidemic period to two and a half years in order to develop treatment and prevention with vaccines. but to reduce the severity The recent outbreak has resulted in a large number of infected people. may be in the number of tens of thousands If including infected people have few or no symptoms and did not check It could be a hundred thousand. The problem of the disease is therefore in the fragile specific group. The number of hospitalizations is 2,000-3,000 people, 20-30 deaths.
We accept the fact that this disease will be with us forever. and will be able to live together The virus will hurt us less. We have a better immune system. who have been vaccinated or already infected and have better medicine The loss rate will be lower. Like general respiratory diseases, especially in children, when they grow up, they will have immunity. And if infected, the severity of the disease will be less.
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