2023-04-23 14:47:32
The coming-out of summerthe new platform of the left in spain leadered by Yolanda DiazVice President of the Government of Pedro Sánchez, born in El Ferrol (Galicia) 51 years ago, has revolutionized the political scene in the country.
After months of generating expectations about whether or not he was really going to take the step of running for the elections, scheduled for the end of the year, the mere public pronunciation of “yes, I want” has completely changed the landscape: the left Díaz has an ambitious leadership that has set itself a challenge that seemed unimaginable until recently: that a women be invested as President of the Government for the first time in the history of Spain.
Of course, it will not be in the next elections, which are just around the corner, although there is still no exact date. But the ingredients seem at least to be well placed, waiting for fermentation, which only takes time: Díaz treasures an important government work much applauded on the left political and union -some of the most emblematic measures of the Sánchez Executive bear his signature, such as support for workers during the pandemic, the labor reform and the increase in the minimum wage-; a trajectory militant with more than three decades on the left without any shadow of corruption, and an unparalleled degree of knowledge and support in the polls.
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Despite not being part of any of the majority parties that have dominated Spanish politics since the Transition -the PSOE, social democrat, and the PP, liberal-conservative-, all the surveys (public and private) place Yolanda Díaz as the politician best valued in the country, above the president, Pedro Sánchez (PSOE), and the leader of the opposition, Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP). And with a degree of knowledge of 95%: impossible not to take seriously her ambition to become the first woman to reach the presidency at some point.
Diaz has been in the space for years United We Can close associate of Pablo Iglesias, who in 2021 publicly elevated her as her successor without even having agreed with her. She is also the right hand of the socialist president, Pedro Sanchezof whose government she is vice president with a key role in lubricating the relations, always complicated, between the different organizations that are part of the first left-wing coalition government in Spain since the Second Republic, which was destroyed by the coup d’état of General Franco in 1936.
However, the time of the Diaz’s political emancipation of those who until recently had been its bosses, in the party (Pablo Iglesias) and in the government (Pedro Sánchez), it seems to have arrived. She herself remembers him at almost all of her rallies, without quoting them: “I don’t belong to anyone! ohwomen belong to nobody!”.
The relationship has become especially conflictive with Iglesias, who resigned from all his organic positions but who continues to be the main reference for United We Can. Díaz never became a soldier in the formation and the only political card that he carries in his pocket is that of the Communist Party of Spain (PCE), but more as a symbolic question, of recognition of the historical role of the party and as a tribute to his own father, who is his main beacon in politics, than of real adherence to a formation in whose organic life he does not participate. Currently, the PCE is part of United Left (IU), in turn linked up to now with Podemos.
Inside of emancipation strategy, and at the same time trying to overflow the traditional space of Podemos, very worn and down in all the polls, Díaz has launched Sumar as a new electoral platform linked to his candidacy in the next elections. The new artifact has already achieved the support of fifteen parties, including the IU and also left-wing formations well established in their respective territories, such as the common ones in Catalonia, led by the mayoress of Barcelona, Ada Colau, and Compromís in the Valencian Community, which is part of the regional government and directs the mayor’s office of the capital of this community, among many others.
Instead, We can remains outside of this new political space. What’s more: relations are now very tense, in a spiral of mutual reproaches that increasingly distances electoral convergence and weighs down the expectations of the left as a whole in the imminent municipal and regional elections at the end of May, which are a aperitif of the general elections at the end of the year.
Sumar beats Podemos
The environment is so rarefied that all the polls already address the scenario that there is no agreement and that the Sumar platform of Yolanda Diaz go to the crash in the next elections generals with Podemos, now led by the Minister of Social Rights, Ione Belarra, who has the support of heavyweights in the formation, such as the Minister of Equality, Irene Montero, and the founders of the party Pablo Iglesias and Juan Carlos Monedero. Despite this, all the polls agree that Sumar now has much more support among voters than Podemos.
A poll from last December for the newspaper The country it granted 23 seats for Sumar and 7 for Podemos in the event of facing a rupture scenario (over a chamber of 350 deputies). And the trend has been ratified this month by both the daily The worldwhose recent poll gives 35 tally sheets for Sumar and 8 for Podemos, as this week by the CIS, the public demoscopic body, which only offers percentages and not distribution of seats: 10.6% for Sumar compared to 6.7% for Can.
All the polls have another coincidence: if Sumar and Podemos go to the elections separately, they would leave at least twenty seats along the way, which the left would lose as a whole. This supposes a very serious additional risk for the expectations of reissuing the progressive government coalition after the elections.
Concern in the PSOE
This possibility generates enormous concern in the PSOE and the President of the Government, who in this dispute to their left have clearly sided with Díaz, in more pact-oriented ways, to the detriment of Podemos, with a generally more defiant attitude.
However, the socialists They are also beginning to show concern about a second issue that affects him even more fully: the polls show that Sumar can also fish in the traditional socialist fishing ground, as a consequence of both this profile of the left that is committed to governability -inheritance, in some way, of the Eurocommunist PCE that was key in the Transition – as well as the fact that it was a female candidate in a context of cultural boom of the feminismagainst the backdrop of a historical anomaly that is finally beginning to be corrected in Western countries: in Spain, a female president of the government has never been inaugurated yet.
The polls offer several data that have set off all the alarms in the PSOE: Díaz has a rating of half a point above Sánchez himself, and he leads him in all segments of the left and also among women. The recent CIS survey even quantifies the flight: up to 10% of PSOE voters today would be inclined to vote for Díaz instead of his party.
Many socialists actually dream of the possibility that Díaz was once their candidate. The leadership of the PSOE and La Moncloa are very aware that this historical anomaly that no woman has yet been president attack, but the debate for the succession in the PSOE is blocked while Sánchez retains the presidency of the Government. The problem is that his management is so personalist -cesarista, emphasize his critics- that there is still no glimpse of who could be his future successor or successor. And it is not even clear under what conditions a party that is losing muscle as a result of the hyper-leadership of its top leader and focused as it is in supporting government tasks will face post-Sanchism.
It will be then, in the earthworks that will trigger the departure of Pedro Sánchez from La Moncloa, when it will be possible to better appreciate whether the ambition shown by Yolanda Díaz to become the first woman in reaching the presidency of the Government in spain It is no longer just another utopia.
The revolution that aspires to achieve this has already begun: it flies the flag of Sumar.
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