AfD Leads Polls in Saxony-Anhalt Ahead of Historic German State Election

by Ahmed Ibrahim World Editor
Ulrich Siegmund, the far-right Alternative for Germany's candidate in Saxony-Anhalt, speaks at the Generation Germany youth

Germany faces a historic political test as the far-right Alternative for Germany party leads polls in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of a regional vote on September 4, 2026. The election could secure the party’s first state-level power in post-war history, rattling traditional conservatives and drawing international attention.

Germany is holding its breath this weekend as a seismic election unfolds in the country’s eastern region. The Alternative für Deutschland party is aiming to secure a majority in the regional parliament of Saxony-Anhalt. An outright win would mark the first time a far-right party has held state-level power in the nation’s post-war era.

For opponents of the AfD, the vote represents a point of serious peril. For the party itself, however, the contest is seen as a crucial stepping stone toward nationwide political power.

The Rise of Ulrich Siegmund and the Modernized Far-Right Campaign

Everywhere Ulrich Siegmund goes, an influencer follows, streaming live from the campaign trail. Siegmund is the far-right Alternative for Germany candidate running for governor in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt. The 35-year-old former marketing man is a TikTok star with almost half as many followers on the platform as people eligible to vote in the state.

Siegmund distinguishes himself from traditional party members through a polished personal presentation. In every video, he wears an ironed white polo shirt or starched dress shirt, sporting an immaculate side parting and a steady smile that rarely cracks—even when addressing the party’s hardest-line positions. The charismatic lead candidate has dominated discussion and media coverage, earning the moniker Germany’s Most Dangerous Man from Der Spiegel magazine.

A general view of a U.S. State Department sign outside the U.S. State Department building in Washington, D.C., U.S., July
Photo: reuters.com

Behind the polished exterior, the party pushes hard-line policies, particularly regarding immigration and mass deportation. Siegmund has asserted in TikTok posts that it is unacceptable that our doctors are leaving for Switzerland, Norway, or elsewhere because they cannot tolerate the conditions here, while we bring in doctors from India or other places to replace them. The AfD platform argues that culturally foreign health workers fail to meet German standards and endanger patient well-being.

Voter Frustrations and Divergent Views on the Ground

Voters across Saxony-Anhalt point to a mixture of lingering nostalgia for the past and acute dissatisfaction with the present. Citizens voice frustration with immigration, public safety, a struggling economy, high energy costs, and aid being sent abroad to countries like Ukraine.

Ulrich Siegmund, lead candidate of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), speaks to voters at an AfD campaign rally
Photo: bbc.co.uk

At a market stall on the main square in Halle, aviation engineer Alexander Winsek weighs whether to vote for the AfD for the first time. I think the AfD has some very good ideas, like limiting the influx of migrants, Winsek says, though he adds that he disagrees with certain other positions. I’d like to stay in NATO, I’d like to keep the euro, and I’m not exactly pro-Russia, he stresses, while praising Siegmund as a refreshing breath of fresh air.

Not all young voters share that optimism. Hannes Kreschel, a 23-year-old law student, attends AfD rallies to question voters on camera. Kreschel previously voted for the AfD to protest against those in power, but changed his mind after reading the party’s actual platform. I figured out that this is not the country I would like to live in, Kreschel explains, adding that I would like to live in an open country which is friendly and not full of hate.

Political Fallout and International Reach

The regional vote carries heavy national implications, spelling fresh trouble for embattled conservative Chancellor Friedrich Merz amid persistent rumors about whether he can survive his term. Merz previously pledged to halt the rise of the far right, but the exact opposite has transpired in eastern strongholds.

How the AfD and right-wing influencers are competing for German votes | DW Reporter

At Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Marcel Lewandowsky, who researches democratic resilience and authored the book , notes that many AfD supporters view themselves as pro-democracy. We can see in the polls that the greatest share of AfD voters is pro-democracy, Lewandowsky points out, noting they also believe democracy is malfunctioning in Germany, creating an opening the AfD exploits.

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