Arizona Spring Weather Forecast 2026: Old Farmer’s Almanac Predicts Average Temperatures, Drier Conditions
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A reliable spring forecast for Arizona is on the minds of many as winter loosens its grip, and the Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its predictions. After a winter that largely aligned with its forecasts, Arizonans are looking ahead to see what the spring season holds for the state.
A Winter of Two Sides in Arizona
The Almanac’s winter forecast for Arizona called for above-normal temperatures, a prediction that proved largely accurate. Temperatures soared to 83 degrees Fahrenheit on Dec. 22, demonstrating the warmer trend. However, the season wasn’t without its cooler moments.
Phoenix experienced a brief cold snap in early January, with temperatures averaging in the low 60s between Jan. 7 and Jan. 9, accompanied by light rainfall. Further north, Flagstaff received its first snowfall of 2026 during the same period, highlighting the diverse weather patterns across the state.
Spring 2026: What to Expect Across Arizona
The Almanac’s spring outlook for 2026 indicates varied conditions across Arizona. According to the forecast, the desert regions of Southwest Arizona will likely experience average temperatures this spring, with rainfall expected to be below normal.
In contrast, Northern Arizona is predicted to be warmer than average, and also drier than normal. This suggests potentially increased fire risk in the northern part of the state as the spring progresses.
The Almanac’s Track Record: 86.1% Accuracy
The Old Farmer’s Almanac boasts a long history of weather forecasting, dating back to 1792 when its founder, Robert B. Thomas, developed an adapted modern formula. The publication claims an 80% accuracy rate overall, and last winter’s predictions were remarkably on target, achieving an 86.1% accuracy rate.
The Almanac’s methodology relies on a combination of solar patterns, historical weather conditions, and current solar activity. “The Almanac uses a unique formula that blends traditional astronomical knowledge with modern meteorological data,” a senior official stated.
The first day of spring in 2026 will officially arrive on Friday, March 20. As Arizonans prepare for the changing season, the Old Farmer’s Almanac offers a glimpse into what the coming months may bring, providing valuable insight for planning and preparedness.
