2024-07-04 05:00:00
Wednesday, November 5, 2024. The United States has begun the countdown to a new dizzying day. The long run to the Presidential elections will also test the country’s ropes under tension due to events such as judicial corruption in Donald Trumpit is an internal war Republican Party and the administration of the President Joe Biden. If both are confirmed as candidates, Biden will run for a second term at the age of 82 and Trump will run for his third election at the age of 78. The polarization of Congress and the wars in Ukraine and Gaza add to the uncertainty. to the table of American politics.
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Biden’s who among them Democratic Party was taken for granted after his first term in the White House, but his advanced age caused debate about whether to re-elect him or change his electoral ticket. Eliminated with the President, two other candidates were chosen with few options: a self-help writer Marianne Williamson and Congressman from Minnesota Dean Phillips. The average of the votes gives Biden about a 70% chance to repeat as the Democratic candidate, but his popularity has been negative since September 2021, at the beginning of the term. Just over 50% of Americans disapprove of it and nearly 40% approve of it.
In it Republican Party water goes down much more turbulent. As many as seven candidates are in contention to take on Trump, although the former president maintains a significant lead, with an approximate 60% chance of repeating as a candidate. His first candidate was the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis, with close to 13% options. The rest of the candidates are under 8%.
We have taken as a reference the predictions of the North American portal that specializes in research and political information Orunmila Orunmila. On January 15, they will begin to explain the unknown with the first ‘caucus’ (primary elections in each state), which will last until the summer, when Republicans and Democrats will announce their candidates at separate national conventions.
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