With the U.S. presidential election just 40 days away, Vice President Kamala Harris and her rival, former Republican President Donald Trump, are locked in a fierce competition across the country and in key battleground states.
In a survey conducted by CNN and polling agency SSRS on 2,074 voters nationwide from the 19th to the 22nd, Harris received 48% support, while Trump received 47%. Harris is slightly ahead, but the result is within the margin of error (±3 percentage points).
A Quinnipiac University poll released on the same day showed Trump with a slight lead, but again within the margin of error. In a Quinnipiac University poll of 1,928 voters nationwide conducted from the 19th to the 22nd (margin of error ±2.4 percentage points), Trump received 48% support, while Harris received 47%.
On the other hand, there was a poll that showed that Harris was far ahead of Trump. According to a survey conducted by Reuters and polling agency Ipsos on 1,029 adults nationwide from the 21st to the 23rd (with a margin of error of ±4 percentage points), Harris received 46.61% of support, leading Trump (40.48%) by more than 6%.
On average, Harris is ahead by a small margin. According to the results of a national poll released by Real Clear Politics (RCP), an election analysis site, between the 11th and 23rd of this month, Harris is ahead of Trump by an average of 2.1 percentage points.
However, since the United States uses a kind of indirect election system in which each state elects its electors and the electors elect the president, the results of opinion polls in swing states such as Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada are also important.
The polls in swing states are also showing a very close race, with the Rust Belt (the declining industrial area in the Northeast) leaning toward Harris, while the Sun Belt (the sunny southeastern region) is leaning toward Trump.
In a New York Times (NYT) and Siena College battleground state poll released on the 23rd, Trump was ahead of Harris in all three states: North Carolina (2 percentage points), Georgia (4 percentage points), and Arizona (5%). In the Rust Belt state of Pennsylvania, Harris was ahead of Trump (50%) to 46%.
On the same day, the Washington Post (WP) in the United States diagnosed that Harris was ahead of Trump in three Rust Belt states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and Nevada, one of the Sun Belt states, based on the average of the surveys.
Reporter Kim Bo-ra [email protected]
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2024-09-26 08:20:23