Corona Numbers to Rise Again in Autumn: New Containment Measures and Viral Variants

by time news

2023-09-26 14:20:47
Title: Resurgence of COVID-19 Cases Expected in Autumn as Countries Reinstate Containment Measures

Introduction:
As the world enters the autumn season, concerns are rising once again about the increasing number of COVID-19 cases. Several countries have already started imposing containment measures in an effort to mitigate the spread of the virus. Experts warn that the virus is here to stay, with new variants emerging that continue to challenge our immune system. In an exclusive interview with virologist Alexander Kekulé, t-online explores what lies ahead for the coming months and the importance of remaining vigilant.

The Autumn Wave: Is Corona Here to Stay?
Kekulé anticipates a new wave of respiratory infections starting in autumn, not just from COVID-19 but also from other seasonal respiratory viruses such as influenza, RSV, and common cold viruses. He emphasizes that COVID-19 is not over and that the virus will continue to coexist with other respiratory diseases for a long time.

Preparing for the Autumn Wave:
While Kekulé doesn’t expect a risk to critical infrastructure or an overload of intensive care units, he emphasizes the importance of not becoming complacent. He argues that simply allowing the virus to run its course is not a viable strategy. Basic immunization is not sufficient as new variants constantly outsmart our immune system. Adapted vaccines and additional booster shots play a crucial role in providing protection against emerging variants.

The Challenge of New Variants:
Kekulé asserts that COVID-19 is not comparable to a common cold virus. For older and high-risk individuals, COVID-19 remains more dangerous than the flu. The absence of a clear seasonal pattern, as demonstrated by the recent summer wave, suggests that population immunity is still not robust enough against SARS-CoV-2.

The Role of Vaccination:
Basic immunization with two doses provides limited protection against new variants. However, individuals who have received booster shots or have recovered from a previous infection are more likely to have extended protection. Kekulé likens our immune system’s response to identifying a new breed of dog based on its similarities to known breeds. Yet, the virus persists in trying to evade the immune system through constant mutation.

The Concerns Surrounding Pirola Variant:
Although some experts have expressed concerns regarding the Pirola variant, Kekulé remains cautiously optimistic. While it possesses several mutations, which theoretically allow it to infect vaccinated and previously infected individuals, this is not unique to Pirola. Most successful variants of SARS-CoV-2 have this ability. However, heavily mutated variants often reproduce at a slower rate. As of now, Pirola has only been reported in one case in Germany, it remains unclear whether it can cause a significant wave of infections.

The Outlook:
Kekulé maintains that none of the new COVID-19 variants, including Pirola, cause more severe cases. Therefore, the pandemic, as a health crisis, is considered to be over. However, he emphasizes the necessity of continuing to take COVID-19 seriously, particularly for at-risk groups and due to the unknown long-term effects of the virus, such as Long Covid.

Conclusion:
As autumn arrives, the world braces itself for a potential surge in COVID-19 cases. While the pandemic may no longer be classified as a health crisis, precautions remain crucial to protect vulnerable populations and mitigate potential long-term consequences. Continued vigilance, alongside vaccination efforts and adaptation to emerging variants, is key to navigating the ongoing battle against COVID-19.]
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