Covid Italy, “decline in infections, perhaps the first vaccine effect”

by time news

“In the last 7 days there has been a decline in” Sars-CoV-2 coronavirus infections “for the fourth consecutive week in Italy. This decline could be a first timid effect of the vaccination campaign”. This is one of the ideas of the 48th Instant Report published by Altems (High School of Economics and Management of Health Systems) of the Catholic University, Rome campus, which reports a slight increase in the daily administration of anti Covid vaccines and confirms the drop in pressure on hospital and territorial services, also certified by official monitoring.


On the national vaccination front, the average daily gap with respect to the goal of 500 thousand daily administrations has also decreased: we are down by 45%, compared to 53% last week. Eleven Regions administer multiple doses weekly: Abruzzo, Emilia Romagna, Liguria, Marche, Molise, Piedmont, Autonomous Province of Bolzano, Sardinia, Tuscany, Umbria and Veneto. Lombardy, on the other hand, performed the highest number of inoculations per point of administration in the last week (2,473).

“The data of the last 7 days – says Americo Cicchetti, director of Altems – confirm the slowdown in the virus race. The slowdown is beginning to have tangible effects on the saturation of intensive care beds. Only a slight improvement can be seen for saturation. of non-critical area beds (8 Regions against 9 last week still above the threshold), but the average saturation rate of non-critical area beds is 41.04%, an increase compared to the previous report of 2, 77 percentage points. Since the beginning of April, the share of patients discharged from intensive care exceeds that of incoming patients “.

As for the lethality data (ratio of deaths to positives), in the last week the highest data was recorded in Sicily, equal to 10.35 per 1,000, and in Molise, equal to 10.07 per 1,000, despite being far from maximum value recorded in March. The apparent raw lethality, nationwide, is equal to 4.42 per 1,000 (an increase compared to the last week analyzed 3.59 x 1,000). The apparent crude mortality, that is the ratio of deaths to the population, at the national level is equal to 4.80% (an increase compared to the last week analyzed).

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