Situation of Covid infections in Italy, the numbers indicate a growth in incidence and Rt. According to flow data from the Ministry of Health, reported in a note from the Higher Institute of Health (Iss), the weekly incidence of Covid-19 cases nationwide is rising: 53 per 100 thousand inhabitants, in the period 29 October – 4 November, compared to 46 per 100,000 inhabitants recorded the previous week (22-28 October).

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The Rt index in Italy also rose. In the period 13 October – 26 October the average Rt, calculated on the symptomatic cases of Covid-19 was equal to 1.15 (range 0.93 – 1.28), an increase compared to the previous week and above the epidemic threshold. This is what emerges from the weekly monitoring of the control room on the trend of Covid in Italy, the data of which are reported by the Higher Institute of Health. From the report, the transmissibility index based on cases with hospitalization is stable and above the epidemic threshold (Rt = 1.12 (1.06-1.17) at 26/10/2021 vs Rt ​​= 1.13 (1, 07-1.19) to 19/10/2021).

“It is believed that the estimates” of the Rt index relating to Covid-19 cases “are insensitive to the recent increase in the number of swabs performed, since these estimates are based only on symptomatic and / or hospitalized cases” specifies the Istituto Superiore di Health.

ADMISSION AND EMPLOYMENT INTENSIVE CARE ARE GROWING – The occupancy rate of beds in intensive care by Covid patients is growing, which at national level stands at 4.0%, according to the daily survey by the Ministry of Health updated to 4 November, compared to 3.7% on 28 last October. The occupancy of beds in medical areas also increased, rising to 5.3% compared to 4.5% on 28 October. Growth figures which, however, remain well below the new parameters considered to be a critical threshold value by the Ministry of Health, set at 10% for intensive care and 15% for ordinary medical departments.

The number of new cases of Covid-19 not associated with transmission chains is on the rise: 8,326 compared to 6,264 in the previous week). The percentage of cases detected through contact tracing activity is increasing (35% vs 33% last week). On the other hand, the percentage of cases detected through the appearance of symptoms is stable (47% vs 47%). The percentage of cases diagnosed through screening activities slightly decreased (18% vs 20%), according to what emerges from the monitoring referred to the period 25-31 October with data updated to 3 November.

ALL REGIONS AT MODERATE RISK – From the monitoring it emerges that all the Regions and autonomous provinces are classified at moderate risk. Among these, 2 Regions, Puglia and Campania are at high probability of high risk progression. Furthermore – we read in the report – 15 Regions and autonomous provinces report an alert of resilience. None reports multiple resilience alerts.

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