“Doctor Sant” Dr. San Jaiyodsilp, a cardiac surgeon and family medicine specialist Post messages via facebook Dr. San Jaiyodsilp, MD. Enter the subject, let it infect. “Omicron” Better than vaccinating three needles four that there are many letters asking about whether or not four needle vaccinations are good. I personally try to avoid writing or suggesting anything that conflicts with national public health policy.
but think again I am determined to teach people to be healthy on their own and to be able to turn over their chronic disease on their own. by giving him the knowledge to assess the complete scientific research data by himself Therefore, I should not make exceptions to this principle in the matter. “Omicron” As well, I decided to write this article. This is to be treated as a one-time response to every letter asking about the IV vaccine.
To this day, there has been quite a lot of new information added. It is sufficient to analyze the benefits and risks of three-dose-four vaccination versus discharge. “Omicron” which I would like to analyze as follows:
benefit analysis
1.1 Comparison of benefits between three injections and four injections
In an Israeli study recently published in the New England Journal, people who had four injections had a lower rate of severe infection than those who had three injections only for the first six weeks after injections. After that, no data was reported. (I don’t understand why they didn’t report it.) But there is data which I secretly checked that when comparing rates of symptomatic infection, the four-dose had less than the triple-dose. needle only in the first 4 weeks, then this difference gradually Reduce until returning to have the same infection rate in the 8th week Here’s my guess from between the lines.
Incidentally, the difference in severe infections in the first six weeks between the three injections and the four injections that the media had tried to spread. Actually, it’s not that much different as people understand. In other words, the infection counts in this study do not count severe cases per hundred (%) of all infected people, as is commonly understood, but per 100,000 person-days. All infected (The term “person-day” means that one person is sick. One day counts as one person-day. If one person is sick for ten days, it counts as ten people-days. or if two people are sick one day, count as two-days) Don’t ask me why I don’t count as “people”. Let it be easy to understand. because the issue will be broken too much I can only say that it’s a gimmicky way of presenting the results of the research.
However, I will explain to you with an absolute risk reduction (ARR) that you can easily understand. In other words, this study concluded that 3.9 vaccinated persons per 100,000 people-day (0.0039%) and 1.5 people per 100,000 people-day (0.0015%) who received four doses of severe infection (0.0015%) had different risks. It’s only 0.0024% (seriously infected per 100 people-day of all infected people), so do you think 0.0024% is a big percentage?
1.2. Comparison of the benefits of the triple-drug vaccine against natural infections
This is because the research done in Israel that I mentioned above deliberately excludes natural cases from being compared to have more or less severe cases of hospitalization than those who received the IV vaccination. (I don’t understand why exclude natural infected because natural infected people are full of cities and will be the majority of people who will use the results). Therefore, this research cannot answer the question of whether the IV vaccination With natural infection, which is better? I know, but to this day, there is not a single piece of evidence that vaccination in excess of two doses is better than immunity derived from natural infections. There is only evidence that natural infections are as good as or better than getting vaccinated Proof that this comes from two directions.
Evidence piece 1. It is research supported by the WHO and the German government. The metaanalysis center collects random blood samples to test the COVID immunity of patients across the African continent. As a result, the immunity detected in the blood of Africans randomly tested across the continent has increased from 3.0% in mid-2020 (before the Omicron outbreak) to 65.1% by the end of 2021 (after the Omicron epidemic). means covid “Omicron” had swept across the continent until the very end with very few casualties. For example, Uganda has 3,595 cumulative deaths (2.1%) from a population of 45.7 million. So far, cases have calmed from the big wave. There are an average of 9 new infections per day, and no one dies each day. where the vaccination rate of this continent is only 14%.
The second piece of evidence is data on hospitalization rates for people with different vaccine and infection statuses. which studied the population of California and New York. As disclosed by the CDC, if the risk was taken, they had to be hospitalized for those who had never been infected and were never vaccinated. Those who were vaccinated but had never been infected had a 19.8 times lower risk of being hospitalized, but those who had been infected and had been vaccinated. The risk of hospitalization was 55.3 times less, while those who had been infected without a vaccine at all had a 57.5 times lower risk of being hospitalized. so severe that he actually had to go to the hospital Regardless of whether or not having received the vaccine with how many doses
2. Analyze the risks
2.1 The risk of vaccine toxicity
Because there has not been a randomized, cohort study on the toxicity of vaccines. therefore relying on a system for reporting the effects of vaccines
(VAERS) reported to the US Centers for Disease Control (CDC), which provides an overview of all vaccine doses combined:
2.1.1.. The likelihood of mortality from vaccines was reported from 14 Dec. ’64 to 4 Apr. ’65, totaling 13,853 people (0.0025%).
2.1.2.. Myocardial infarction and pericarditis have been reported in 2,332 people under the age of 30 as reported to the CDC as of March 31, 65, of these, the CDC concludes. According to the follow-up, there were 1,407 actual vaccine-born people.
2.1.3.. Report of thrombosis There are 64 cases of thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS), most of them caused by the Johnson vaccine. There was caused by the mRNA vaccine in 4 people.
2.1.4.. The incidence of muscle weakness and paralysis caused by multiple sclerosis (GBS) was reported in 312 cases, mostly in the elderly. And most of them are caused by the Johnson vaccine. Some are caused by mRNA vaccines.
All in all, let’s not forget that the US has almost five times the population of Thailand.
2.2 Analyze the risk of infection “Omicron” After receiving two vaccines
Since most Thai people (72.46%) have had two doses of vaccine, the remaining 27.54% are refusing to inject their own not because the state does not provide vaccinations. So I will analyze the risk when infected. “Omicron” Only for most people who have completed two doses of the vaccine. First of all, let’s look at whether Thai people are addicted thus far. “Omicron” how much has gone because since the beginning of the era “Omicron” There has never been a randomized research examining sepsis in the community. The community screening was done by the Rural Medical Association in August. 64, which was before “Omicron” It examined 141,516 people and found 15,588 people, or 11.01%, while the official number of confirmed cases nationwide at that time was 1,009,710, or 1.5%, which was higher than the community infection data. Officially about 7.3 times, we now have official data of 3,905,872 cumulative cases, if the difference between community data and official data in August. 64 Come predict today will get information about the real infected people in the community today that there are about 28.5 million people, but if taking the cost of infection (Reproduction number – RO) of Omicron, which is 3.19 times greater than Delta (if based on research from Denmark) come to mind as well. I’m sharing this lengthy number just to say that it’s very likely that while we’re sitting here terrified of infection, we might be infected without even realizing it.
Well, let’s say we’re still pure and not infected. If you get infected after getting at least two of these vaccines What is the risk of it? If we look at the statistics of the Thai nation As of today, there are 3,905,872 infected patients, 26,188 deaths, a mortality rate of 0.67%. This percentage assumes that there are really only those infected in the whole country, but we still can’t tell whether the more than twenty thousand people have died. from how much covid How many deaths from co-morbidities? In the case of death from covids, it is still not possible to differentiate from the number of deaths from Delta. “Omicron” Simply put, the current national data cannot be used to predict the serious morbidity or mortality rate of future Omicron infections.
The best that can be done is relying on information from countries that are infected. “Omicron” already and finished or near the end The country with the best and most open information is England. And British people have similar vaccination profiles as Thai people. is that the whole country has received two doses of vaccination 74.09%. The research data comparing the mortality rate of the British Bureau of Statistics is as follows.
The conclusion from this table is the number of infected people. “Omicron” Of the 814,011 people in the study, 128 of them actually died of coronavirus, or a mortality rate of 0.015%. “Omicron” of the most reliable double-dose vaccine in the world that I have on hand right now. If anyone has more reliable and better information, please tell me.
The point is that this 0.015% risk is a very low mortality risk. Ten times lower than influenza (mortality rate 0.13-0.17%), and some diseases that are common in Thai people, such as acute myocardial infarction that I answer every day, this has a mortality rate of up to 30%. Omicron covids 2000 times. Looking at the death rate numbers, we estimate the size of “Omicron” Wrong like watching different movies, do you see?
Conclusion
Weighing the risks and benefits of IV vaccination with the release of infection “Omicron” Then, in terms of benefits, there is no evidence that the quadruple vaccine is any more useful than allowing the infection. “Omicron” However, there is some evidence that natural infection is more beneficial in preventing severe disease than vaccination. while in terms of the risk The two options are quadruple vaccination and let go of the infection. “Omicron” They are equally at very low risk, so I recommend that for the average person who is not a special risk group with low immunity. infection “Omicron” It’s better than the three-drug vaccination. I myself practice this way. That is, once the two vaccines are complete, that’s enough. no more
As for those who are at extra risk, I recommend that you choose which one you like and which one you like. because there are no specific research results for this group The 0.015% UK mortality data includes all people of all ages, including those at special risk.