2023-12-20 19:20:56
December 20, 2023
Baghdad / Obelisk Event:
Haider al-Musawi
I asked some political parties months ago to stop insisting on holding provincial council elections and to postpone the matter for a longer period until Sudanese and his government are able to restore the relationship between the street and the political system as a whole and restore confidence, because one of the priorities of the government program is to restore the situation as it was before the October movement and to evaluate the situation in general. And studying the positive reasons why things have reached this point, especially in the geography of the center and the south.
Indeed, this government differed from its predecessors in an attempt that was considered good compared to others in responding to providing services, completing lagging projects, providing job opportunities, and reviving foreign relations, especially with the Arab and Western axis. However, opinions insisted on holding these elections as a point of view that saying that returning to them would mean obtaining local authorities. And trying to present things that make the masses feel that there is a new glimmer of hope that moistens the atmosphere between the traditional forces and the popular bases opposing them in preparation for their return in order to prepare early for the upcoming legislative elections in light of a competing existential threat, which is the Sadrist movement, which has an established audience.
The most important obstacles were the process of educating the boycott and trying to convince as many people as possible of the futility of these elections, since the provincial councils are a redundant circle, and this was agreed upon with great effort, especially by the governors who fear its return because it will restrict their situation and limit their influence.
The elections took place on time, and this was considered a victory to break the will of others and conduct them with great smoothness despite knowing the reluctance in advance, but the surprise is that it was not of this large size, in addition to the fact that Al-Halbousi’s party won first place in the capital, Baghdad, even though in terms of the number of seats this victory has no value, but it is It invested in the media and had a moral impact, without a doubt, and this of course has several reasons that would be too long to list here. What is noteworthy this time is that the governors of three governorates of Basra, Karbala, and Wasit obtained the majority that might enable them to form the local government, and perhaps some of them would not be able to due to the nature of the alliances that will occur after the announcement of the final results. Approving this surprise means a decline in voting for the symbolism of very large and important figures in the political scene after 2003 when we talk about the Dawa, Badr, the Council, and wisdom in that geography.
The reasons are a great reluctance to vote among social groups from the new generations to the conservatives who have harnessed all the capabilities of their provinces with the huge media aura that is somewhat similar to the story of Al-Khalbousi and Anbar as an electoral propaganda to attract the largest possible number of voters. The card of jihadist history, the parties of martyrs, and the card of resistance and bloodshed is possible. It sweeps away everything in conditions of war and fighting because here the card of obtaining security will be the most important for the voter and he forgets something called services, but in conditions of political and security stability here the prevailing and superiority will be for whoever provides the best service even if there is plundering of part of the money and spending the remainder on services and armies. The electronic media that makes these things a stereotypical image makes the mass bases feel that they are unparalleled achievements, even in America and Europe, and by virtue of the existence of multicultural societies and the collective mind, this equation tends towards that. The time of symbolism, the turban, and family history is no longer sufficient to convince people at all, but rather the paving, the bridge, the fountain, and some Job opportunities here and there and exploitation of financial and governmental capabilities are what prevail in the end.
The real challenge will be in the parliamentary elections. The old guard’s survival with these classic tools in dealing with the popular bases, or trying to imitate others in populism as well, will not change anything, because ten years from now, these parties will end and others will replace them, if things continue at this pace, and here all effects will end with The demise of the old guard wizards.
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